Recent UK CPI readings at 2.6% for June 2026, combined with Bank of England revisions projecting a pickup to around 3.2% by Q4 amid Middle East energy price volatility, underpin the near-tie between the 3.5–3.9% and 2.5–2.9% annual average bands. Traders weigh persistent services inflation near 3.6% and indirect effects from higher wholesale costs against softening core goods and food price trends, with monetary policy held at 3.75% signaling caution on second-round effects. Upcoming CPI releases and any further commodity moves will likely determine whether outcomes cluster around 3% or shift higher, reflecting skin-in-the-game assessment of the inflation path.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоU.K. Annual Inflation 2026
U.K. Annual Inflation 2026
3.5–3.9% 23.8%
2.5–2.9% 23.4%
4.0-4.4% 10%
4.5%+ 8%
$55,682 Обс.
$55,682 Обс.
Jan 20, 2027
<1.0%
<1%
1.0–1.4%
4%
1.5–1.9%
2%
2.0–2.4%
6%
2.5–2.9%
23%
3.0–3.4%
-
3.5–3.9%
24%
4.0-4.4%
10%
4.5%+
8%
3.5–3.9% 23.8%
2.5–2.9% 23.4%
4.0-4.4% 10%
4.5%+ 8%
$55,682 Обс.
$55,682 Обс.
Jan 20, 2027
<1.0%
$876 Обс.
<1%
1.0–1.4%
$1,193 Обс.
4%
1.5–1.9%
$554 Обс.
2%
2.0–2.4%
$4,090 Обс.
6%
2.5–2.9%
$13,417 Обс.
23%
3.0–3.4%
$0 Обс.
-
3.5–3.9%
$22,175 Обс.
24%
4.0-4.4%
$5,508 Обс.
10%
4.5%+
$7,869 Обс.
8%
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in the U.K. over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Office for National Statistics (ONS).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly ONS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the ONS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases), currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by choosing the report for the relevant month from the previous releases page for price indices on the ONS website (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases). The relevant figure can be found in the "Consumer price inflation rates" table under the column labeled "CPI 12-month rate (%)" for the relevant month.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly ONS CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ons.gov.uk/releasecalendarRecent UK CPI readings at 2.6% for June 2026, combined with Bank of England revisions projecting a pickup to around 3.2% by Q4 amid Middle East energy price volatility, underpin the near-tie between the 3.5–3.9% and 2.5–2.9% annual average bands. Traders weigh persistent services inflation near 3.6% and indirect effects from higher wholesale costs against softening core goods and food price trends, with monetary policy held at 3.75% signaling caution on second-round effects. Upcoming CPI releases and any further commodity moves will likely determine whether outcomes cluster around 3% or shift higher, reflecting skin-in-the-game assessment of the inflation path.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in the U.K. over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Office for National Statistics (ONS).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly ONS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the ONS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases), currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by choosing the report for the relevant month from the previous releases page for price indices on the ONS website (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases). The relevant figure can be found in the "Consumer price inflation rates" table under the column labeled "CPI 12-month rate (%)" for the relevant month.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly ONS CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ons.gov.uk/releasecalendar
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly ONS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the ONS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases), currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by choosing the report for the relevant month from the previous releases page for price indices on the ONS website (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases). The relevant figure can be found in the "Consumer price inflation rates" table under the column labeled "CPI 12-month rate (%)" for the relevant month.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly ONS CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ons.gov.uk/releasecalendar
Ринок відкрито: Jan 21, 2026, 7:24 PM ET
Обсяг
$55,682Дата завершення
Jan 20, 2027Ринок відкрито
Jan 21, 2026, 7:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in the U.K. over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Office for National Statistics (ONS).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly ONS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the ONS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases), currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by choosing the report for the relevant month from the previous releases page for price indices on the ONS website (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases). The relevant figure can be found in the "Consumer price inflation rates" table under the column labeled "CPI 12-month rate (%)" for the relevant month.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly ONS CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ons.gov.uk/releasecalendarRecent UK CPI readings at 2.6% for June 2026, combined with Bank of England revisions projecting a pickup to around 3.2% by Q4 amid Middle East energy price volatility, underpin the near-tie between the 3.5–3.9% and 2.5–2.9% annual average bands. Traders weigh persistent services inflation near 3.6% and indirect effects from higher wholesale costs against softening core goods and food price trends, with monetary policy held at 3.75% signaling caution on second-round effects. Upcoming CPI releases and any further commodity moves will likely determine whether outcomes cluster around 3% or shift higher, reflecting skin-in-the-game assessment of the inflation path.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in the U.K. over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Office for National Statistics (ONS).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly ONS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the ONS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases), currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by choosing the report for the relevant month from the previous releases page for price indices on the ONS website (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases). The relevant figure can be found in the "Consumer price inflation rates" table under the column labeled "CPI 12-month rate (%)" for the relevant month.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly ONS CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ons.gov.uk/releasecalendar
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly ONS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the ONS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases), currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by choosing the report for the relevant month from the previous releases page for price indices on the ONS website (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases). The relevant figure can be found in the "Consumer price inflation rates" table under the column labeled "CPI 12-month rate (%)" for the relevant month.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly ONS CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ons.gov.uk/releasecalendar
Обсяг
$55,682Дата завершення
Jan 20, 2027Ринок відкрито
Jan 21, 2026, 7:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent UK CPI readings at 2.6% for June 2026, combined with Bank of England revisions projecting a pickup to around 3.2% by Q4 amid Middle East energy price volatility, underpin the near-tie between the 3.5–3.9% and 2.5–2.9% annual average bands. Traders weigh persistent services inflation near 3.6% and indirect effects from higher wholesale costs against softening core goods and food price trends, with monetary policy held at 3.75% signaling caution on second-round effects. Upcoming CPI releases and any further commodity moves will likely determine whether outcomes cluster around 3% or shift higher, reflecting skin-in-the-game assessment of the inflation path.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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