Traders assign the highest combined implied probability—nearly 80%—to August egg prices settling in the $2.10–$2.40 range because retail averages have stabilized near $2.14 per dozen as of June 2026 after sharp declines from 2025 peaks above $6. USDA data show farm-level and retail prices falling more than 27% year-over-year, driven by flock recovery and reduced highly pathogenic avian influenza detections that had culled millions of layers since 2022. This supply rebound, aided by adequate pullet availability, underpins the market-implied odds clustering around observed levels. Lingering uncertainty stems from potential new outbreaks, seasonal demand, or feed-cost shifts that could widen volatility before month-end resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено$2.20–$2.30 25.4%
$2.30–$2.40 25%
$2.10–$2.20 21.0%
$2.40–$2.50 12%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 11, 2026
<$1.80
1%
$1.80–$1.90
1%
$1.90–$2.00
5%
$2.00–$2.10
4%
$2.10–$2.20
26%
$2.20–$2.30
25%
$2.30–$2.40
25%
$2.40–$2.50
14%
$2.50–$2.60
2%
≥$2.60
1%
$2.20–$2.30 25.4%
$2.30–$2.40 25%
$2.10–$2.20 21.0%
$2.40–$2.50 12%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 11, 2026
<$1.80
$142 Обс.
1%
$1.80–$1.90
$183 Обс.
1%
$1.90–$2.00
$436 Обс.
5%
$2.00–$2.10
$259 Обс.
4%
$2.10–$2.20
$1,915 Обс.
26%
$2.20–$2.30
$480 Обс.
25%
$2.30–$2.40
$718 Обс.
25%
$2.40–$2.50
$200 Обс.
14%
$2.50–$2.60
$425 Обс.
2%
≥$2.60
$763 Обс.
1%
This market will resolve to the bracket within which the price for "Eggs, Grade A, Large (Cost per Dozen) in U.S. City Average" lies when the August data point is published by the St. Louis Fed (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/APU0000708111).
The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for egg prices on the BLS's CPI release. The August release is presently scheduled for September 11, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon the update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.Traders assign the highest combined implied probability—nearly 80%—to August egg prices settling in the $2.10–$2.40 range because retail averages have stabilized near $2.14 per dozen as of June 2026 after sharp declines from 2025 peaks above $6. USDA data show farm-level and retail prices falling more than 27% year-over-year, driven by flock recovery and reduced highly pathogenic avian influenza detections that had culled millions of layers since 2022. This supply rebound, aided by adequate pullet availability, underpins the market-implied odds clustering around observed levels. Lingering uncertainty stems from potential new outbreaks, seasonal demand, or feed-cost shifts that could widen volatility before month-end resolution.
This market will resolve to the bracket within which the price for "Eggs, Grade A, Large (Cost per Dozen) in U.S. City Average" lies when the August data point is published by the St. Louis Fed (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/APU0000708111).
The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for egg prices on the BLS's CPI release. The August release is presently scheduled for September 11, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon the update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for egg prices on the BLS's CPI release. The August release is presently scheduled for September 11, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon the update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 12, 2026, 10:17 AM ET
Обсяг
$5,521Дата завершення
Sep 11, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 12, 2026, 10:17 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the bracket within which the price for "Eggs, Grade A, Large (Cost per Dozen) in U.S. City Average" lies when the August data point is published by the St. Louis Fed (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/APU0000708111).
The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for egg prices on the BLS's CPI release. The August release is presently scheduled for September 11, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon the update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.Traders assign the highest combined implied probability—nearly 80%—to August egg prices settling in the $2.10–$2.40 range because retail averages have stabilized near $2.14 per dozen as of June 2026 after sharp declines from 2025 peaks above $6. USDA data show farm-level and retail prices falling more than 27% year-over-year, driven by flock recovery and reduced highly pathogenic avian influenza detections that had culled millions of layers since 2022. This supply rebound, aided by adequate pullet availability, underpins the market-implied odds clustering around observed levels. Lingering uncertainty stems from potential new outbreaks, seasonal demand, or feed-cost shifts that could widen volatility before month-end resolution.
This market will resolve to the bracket within which the price for "Eggs, Grade A, Large (Cost per Dozen) in U.S. City Average" lies when the August data point is published by the St. Louis Fed (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/APU0000708111).
The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for egg prices on the BLS's CPI release. The August release is presently scheduled for September 11, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon the update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for egg prices on the BLS's CPI release. The August release is presently scheduled for September 11, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon the update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Обсяг
$5,521Дата завершення
Sep 11, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 12, 2026, 10:17 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders assign the highest combined implied probability—nearly 80%—to August egg prices settling in the $2.10–$2.40 range because retail averages have stabilized near $2.14 per dozen as of June 2026 after sharp declines from 2025 peaks above $6. USDA data show farm-level and retail prices falling more than 27% year-over-year, driven by flock recovery and reduced highly pathogenic avian influenza detections that had culled millions of layers since 2022. This supply rebound, aided by adequate pullet availability, underpins the market-implied odds clustering around observed levels. Lingering uncertainty stems from potential new outbreaks, seasonal demand, or feed-cost shifts that could widen volatility before month-end resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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