Recent July 2026 data showed core CPI easing to 2.5% year-over-year from 2.6% in June, aligning with consensus forecasts and reflecting softer core goods prices alongside normalized services inflation. Cleveland Fed nowcasts for August point to a 0.20% monthly increase, implying an annual rate near 2.43%, while economist surveys cluster around 2.5%. These figures, combined with steady shelter costs and moderating energy volatility, underpin trader positioning favoring 2.3–2.5% outcomes as the market prices in gradual disinflation without abrupt shifts. The upcoming August release, due mid-September, will further inform Fed policy expectations amid the current 3.50–3.75% funds rate range and mixed labor market signals.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено2.4% 37%
2.3% 21%
2.5% 19%
2.6% 8%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 11, 2026
≤2.0%
5%
2.1%
2%
2.2%
7%
2.3%
27%
2.4%
37%
2.5%
19%
2.6%
8%
2.7%
7%
2.8%
6%
≥2.9%
3%
2.4% 37%
2.3% 21%
2.5% 19%
2.6% 8%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 11, 2026
≤2.0%
$188 Обс.
5%
2.1%
$164 Обс.
2%
2.2%
$282 Обс.
7%
2.3%
$186 Обс.
27%
2.4%
$1,860 Обс.
37%
2.5%
$133 Обс.
19%
2.6%
$179 Обс.
8%
2.7%
$217 Обс.
7%
2.8%
$234 Обс.
6%
≥2.9%
$146 Обс.
3%
This is a market about core inflation (excluding food and energy) over the 12-month period ending August 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) over the 12-month period ending in August 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent July 2026 data showed core CPI easing to 2.5% year-over-year from 2.6% in June, aligning with consensus forecasts and reflecting softer core goods prices alongside normalized services inflation. Cleveland Fed nowcasts for August point to a 0.20% monthly increase, implying an annual rate near 2.43%, while economist surveys cluster around 2.5%. These figures, combined with steady shelter costs and moderating energy volatility, underpin trader positioning favoring 2.3–2.5% outcomes as the market prices in gradual disinflation without abrupt shifts. The upcoming August release, due mid-September, will further inform Fed policy expectations amid the current 3.50–3.75% funds rate range and mixed labor market signals.
This is a market about core inflation (excluding food and energy) over the 12-month period ending August 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) over the 12-month period ending in August 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) over the 12-month period ending in August 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 12, 2026, 10:17 AM ET
Обсяг
$3,589Дата завершення
Sep 11, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 12, 2026, 10:17 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This is a market about core inflation (excluding food and energy) over the 12-month period ending August 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) over the 12-month period ending in August 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent July 2026 data showed core CPI easing to 2.5% year-over-year from 2.6% in June, aligning with consensus forecasts and reflecting softer core goods prices alongside normalized services inflation. Cleveland Fed nowcasts for August point to a 0.20% monthly increase, implying an annual rate near 2.43%, while economist surveys cluster around 2.5%. These figures, combined with steady shelter costs and moderating energy volatility, underpin trader positioning favoring 2.3–2.5% outcomes as the market prices in gradual disinflation without abrupt shifts. The upcoming August release, due mid-September, will further inform Fed policy expectations amid the current 3.50–3.75% funds rate range and mixed labor market signals.
This is a market about core inflation (excluding food and energy) over the 12-month period ending August 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) over the 12-month period ending in August 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) over the 12-month period ending in August 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Обсяг
$3,589Дата завершення
Sep 11, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 12, 2026, 10:17 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent July 2026 data showed core CPI easing to 2.5% year-over-year from 2.6% in June, aligning with consensus forecasts and reflecting softer core goods prices alongside normalized services inflation. Cleveland Fed nowcasts for August point to a 0.20% monthly increase, implying an annual rate near 2.43%, while economist surveys cluster around 2.5%. These figures, combined with steady shelter costs and moderating energy volatility, underpin trader positioning favoring 2.3–2.5% outcomes as the market prices in gradual disinflation without abrupt shifts. The upcoming August release, due mid-September, will further inform Fed policy expectations amid the current 3.50–3.75% funds rate range and mixed labor market signals.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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