Recent July inflation data at 2.1% month-over-month, up from 1.9% in June and slightly above consensus, has anchored expectations for August amid Argentina’s ongoing disinflation. Trader sentiment remains evenly split between the 1.5-1.7% and 1.8-2.0% buckets because July’s tick higher ended three straight months below 2%, with analysts citing winter holiday effects and residual price pressures despite stable exchange rates and tighter fiscal policy under President Milei. Year-over-year inflation held near 33.8%, while central bank surveys point to full-year 2026 inflation near 30%. The narrow spread in implied probabilities highlights sensitivity to incoming data on core prices, utility adjustments, and monetary conditions before the September release.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоArgentina Monthly Inflation - August
Argentina Monthly Inflation - August
1.8-2.0% 49.7%
1.5-1.7% 48.6%
2.1-2.3% 5%
≤1.1% <1%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 10, 2026
≤1.1%
1%
1.2-1.4%
1%
1.5-1.7%
49%
1.8-2.0%
50%
2.1-2.3%
5%
2.4-2.6%
1%
2.7-2.9%
1%
3.0%+
1%
1.8-2.0% 49.7%
1.5-1.7% 48.6%
2.1-2.3% 5%
≤1.1% <1%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 10, 2026
≤1.1%
$182 Обс.
1%
1.2-1.4%
$166 Обс.
1%
1.5-1.7%
$758 Обс.
49%
1.8-2.0%
$644 Обс.
50%
2.1-2.3%
$371 Обс.
5%
2.4-2.6%
$166 Обс.
1%
2.7-2.9%
$166 Обс.
1%
3.0%+
$166 Обс.
1%
This is a market about the monthly variation of consumer prices in Argentina, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in August 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), currently scheduled to be released on September 10, 2026.
Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the "Precios al Consumidor" option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the PDF for the figure under "Variación % mensual Total nacional".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release, which reports monthly inflation change to only one decimal point (e.g., 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent July inflation data at 2.1% month-over-month, up from 1.9% in June and slightly above consensus, has anchored expectations for August amid Argentina’s ongoing disinflation. Trader sentiment remains evenly split between the 1.5-1.7% and 1.8-2.0% buckets because July’s tick higher ended three straight months below 2%, with analysts citing winter holiday effects and residual price pressures despite stable exchange rates and tighter fiscal policy under President Milei. Year-over-year inflation held near 33.8%, while central bank surveys point to full-year 2026 inflation near 30%. The narrow spread in implied probabilities highlights sensitivity to incoming data on core prices, utility adjustments, and monetary conditions before the September release.
This is a market about the monthly variation of consumer prices in Argentina, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in August 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), currently scheduled to be released on September 10, 2026.
Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the "Precios al Consumidor" option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the PDF for the figure under "Variación % mensual Total nacional".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release, which reports monthly inflation change to only one decimal point (e.g., 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in August 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), currently scheduled to be released on September 10, 2026.
Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the "Precios al Consumidor" option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the PDF for the figure under "Variación % mensual Total nacional".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release, which reports monthly inflation change to only one decimal point (e.g., 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 14, 2026, 2:49 PM ET
Обсяг
$2,619Дата завершення
Sep 10, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 14, 2026, 2:49 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This is a market about the monthly variation of consumer prices in Argentina, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in August 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), currently scheduled to be released on September 10, 2026.
Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the "Precios al Consumidor" option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the PDF for the figure under "Variación % mensual Total nacional".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release, which reports monthly inflation change to only one decimal point (e.g., 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent July inflation data at 2.1% month-over-month, up from 1.9% in June and slightly above consensus, has anchored expectations for August amid Argentina’s ongoing disinflation. Trader sentiment remains evenly split between the 1.5-1.7% and 1.8-2.0% buckets because July’s tick higher ended three straight months below 2%, with analysts citing winter holiday effects and residual price pressures despite stable exchange rates and tighter fiscal policy under President Milei. Year-over-year inflation held near 33.8%, while central bank surveys point to full-year 2026 inflation near 30%. The narrow spread in implied probabilities highlights sensitivity to incoming data on core prices, utility adjustments, and monetary conditions before the September release.
This is a market about the monthly variation of consumer prices in Argentina, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in August 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), currently scheduled to be released on September 10, 2026.
Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the "Precios al Consumidor" option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the PDF for the figure under "Variación % mensual Total nacional".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release, which reports monthly inflation change to only one decimal point (e.g., 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in August 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), currently scheduled to be released on September 10, 2026.
Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the "Precios al Consumidor" option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the PDF for the figure under "Variación % mensual Total nacional".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release, which reports monthly inflation change to only one decimal point (e.g., 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Обсяг
$2,619Дата завершення
Sep 10, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 14, 2026, 2:49 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent July inflation data at 2.1% month-over-month, up from 1.9% in June and slightly above consensus, has anchored expectations for August amid Argentina’s ongoing disinflation. Trader sentiment remains evenly split between the 1.5-1.7% and 1.8-2.0% buckets because July’s tick higher ended three straight months below 2%, with analysts citing winter holiday effects and residual price pressures despite stable exchange rates and tighter fiscal policy under President Milei. Year-over-year inflation held near 33.8%, while central bank surveys point to full-year 2026 inflation near 30%. The narrow spread in implied probabilities highlights sensitivity to incoming data on core prices, utility adjustments, and monetary conditions before the September release.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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