Heightened regional tensions between Israel, Hezbollah, and Iran have driven U.S. decisions on embassy staffing in Beirut, with the State Department ordering departure of non-emergency personnel and family members in late February 2026 amid airstrikes and security alerts. The embassy has remained on ordered-departure status through August 2026, suspending routine consular services while core diplomatic functions continue and commercial flights stay available for private U.S. citizens. Recent U.S.-backed talks in Rome between Lebanese and Israeli delegations on phased withdrawals and de-escalation represent the main diplomatic channel that could reduce risks or prompt further adjustments to mission posture before any resolution date. Trader assessments reflect these ongoing security conditions and negotiation timelines rather than a complete embassy closure.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоU.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by...?
U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by...?
$117,489 Обс.
Dec 31, 2026
December 31
4%
$117,489 Обс.
December 31
$23,387 Обс.
4%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy. Heightened regional tensions between Israel, Hezbollah, and Iran have driven U.S. decisions on embassy staffing in Beirut, with the State Department ordering departure of non-emergency personnel and family members in late February 2026 amid airstrikes and security alerts. The embassy has remained on ordered-departure status through August 2026, suspending routine consular services while core diplomatic functions continue and commercial flights stay available for private U.S. citizens. Recent U.S.-backed talks in Rome between Lebanese and Israeli delegations on phased withdrawals and de-escalation represent the main diplomatic channel that could reduce risks or prompt further adjustments to mission posture before any resolution date. Trader assessments reflect these ongoing security conditions and negotiation timelines rather than a complete embassy closure.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy.
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy.
Ринок відкрито: Jun 30, 2026, 5:10 PM ET
Обсяг
$117,489Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 30, 2026, 5:10 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy. Heightened regional tensions between Israel, Hezbollah, and Iran have driven U.S. decisions on embassy staffing in Beirut, with the State Department ordering departure of non-emergency personnel and family members in late February 2026 amid airstrikes and security alerts. The embassy has remained on ordered-departure status through August 2026, suspending routine consular services while core diplomatic functions continue and commercial flights stay available for private U.S. citizens. Recent U.S.-backed talks in Rome between Lebanese and Israeli delegations on phased withdrawals and de-escalation represent the main diplomatic channel that could reduce risks or prompt further adjustments to mission posture before any resolution date. Trader assessments reflect these ongoing security conditions and negotiation timelines rather than a complete embassy closure.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy.
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy.
Обсяг
$117,489Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 30, 2026, 5:10 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Heightened regional tensions between Israel, Hezbollah, and Iran have driven U.S. decisions on embassy staffing in Beirut, with the State Department ordering departure of non-emergency personnel and family members in late February 2026 amid airstrikes and security alerts. The embassy has remained on ordered-departure status through August 2026, suspending routine consular services while core diplomatic functions continue and commercial flights stay available for private U.S. citizens. Recent U.S.-backed talks in Rome between Lebanese and Israeli delegations on phased withdrawals and de-escalation represent the main diplomatic channel that could reduce risks or prompt further adjustments to mission posture before any resolution date. Trader assessments reflect these ongoing security conditions and negotiation timelines rather than a complete embassy closure.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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