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icon for U.S. issues passport with Trump's face on it by July 31?

U.S. issues passport with Trump's face on it by July 31?

icon for U.S. issues passport with Trump's face on it by July 31?

U.S. issues passport with Trump's face on it by July 31?

94% шанс
Polymarket

$14,450 Обс.

94% шанс
Polymarket

$14,450 Обс.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any United States passports containing images or representations of Donald Trump’s face are issued by the United States government by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The passports must actually be issued to U.S. citizens. Proposals, approvals, announcements that qualifying passports will be issued, or unreleased sample passports will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States government and a consensus of credible information. **The U.S. State Department announced in late April 2026 plans for a limited-edition passport redesign featuring President Trump's portrait and signature on an interior page, tied to the nation's 250th anniversary commemorations in July.** The design places the image over Declaration of Independence text, with issuance slated to begin this summer via the Washington Passport Agency as the default for in-person renewals there. This official action by the agency responsible for passport production and distribution directly supports the current trader consensus around a 78% implied probability of issuance by July 31, 2026. No subsequent procedural delays, funding issues, or successful legal challenges have emerged in the intervening weeks to alter the timeline. While some lawmakers have voiced opposition and called for halting the project, the administration has proceeded with the approved mockups and rollout schedule. The outcome hinges on whether the first batches reach applicants before the market's cutoff, consistent with standard federal agency execution of commemorative designs.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any United States passports containing images or representations of Donald Trump’s face are issued by the United States government by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The passports must actually be issued to U.S. citizens. Proposals, approvals, announcements that qualifying passports will be issued, or unreleased sample passports will not qualify.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States government and a consensus of credible information.
Обсяг
$14,450
Дата завершення
Jul 31, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Apr 28, 2026, 7:09 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any United States passports containing images or representations of Donald Trump’s face are issued by the United States government by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The passports must actually be issued to U.S. citizens. Proposals, approvals, announcements that qualifying passports will be issued, or unreleased sample passports will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States government and a consensus of credible information.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any United States passports containing images or representations of Donald Trump’s face are issued by the United States government by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The passports must actually be issued to U.S. citizens. Proposals, approvals, announcements that qualifying passports will be issued, or unreleased sample passports will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States government and a consensus of credible information. **The U.S. State Department announced in late April 2026 plans for a limited-edition passport redesign featuring President Trump's portrait and signature on an interior page, tied to the nation's 250th anniversary commemorations in July.** The design places the image over Declaration of Independence text, with issuance slated to begin this summer via the Washington Passport Agency as the default for in-person renewals there. This official action by the agency responsible for passport production and distribution directly supports the current trader consensus around a 78% implied probability of issuance by July 31, 2026. No subsequent procedural delays, funding issues, or successful legal challenges have emerged in the intervening weeks to alter the timeline. While some lawmakers have voiced opposition and called for halting the project, the administration has proceeded with the approved mockups and rollout schedule. The outcome hinges on whether the first batches reach applicants before the market's cutoff, consistent with standard federal agency execution of commemorative designs.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any United States passports containing images or representations of Donald Trump’s face are issued by the United States government by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The passports must actually be issued to U.S. citizens. Proposals, approvals, announcements that qualifying passports will be issued, or unreleased sample passports will not qualify.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States government and a consensus of credible information.
Обсяг
$14,450
Дата завершення
Jul 31, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Apr 28, 2026, 7:09 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any United States passports containing images or representations of Donald Trump’s face are issued by the United States government by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The passports must actually be issued to U.S. citizens. Proposals, approvals, announcements that qualifying passports will be issued, or unreleased sample passports will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States government and a consensus of credible information.

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«U.S. issues passport with Trump's face on it by July 31?» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket, де трейдери купують і продають акції «Так» або «Ні» залежно від того, чи вірять вони, що ця подія станеться. Поточна краудсорсингова ймовірність — 94% для «Yes». Наприклад, якщо «Так» коштує 94¢, ринок колективно оцінює шанс цієї події в 94%. Ці шанси безперервно змінюються, коли трейдери реагують на нові події. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

Станом на сьогодні, «U.S. issues passport with Trump's face on it by July 31?» згенерував $14.4K загального обсягу торгів з моменту запуску ринку Apr 28, 2026. Цей рівень торгової активності відображає сильну залученість спільноти Polymarket та забезпечує, що поточні шанси базуються на глибокому пулі учасників ринку. Ви можете відстежувати рухи цін наживо та торгувати будь-яким результатом прямо на цій сторінці.

Щоб торгувати на «U.S. issues passport with Trump's face on it by July 31?», просто оберіть, чи вірите ви, що відповідь — «Так» або «Ні». Кожна сторона має поточну ціну, що відображає ймовірність ринку. Введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ви купили акції «Так» і результат — «Так», кожна акція виплачує $1. Якщо «Ні» — ваші акції «Так» коштують $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточна ймовірність для «U.S. issues passport with Trump's face on it by July 31?» — 94% для «Yes». Це означає, що спільнота Polymarket вважає, що є 94% шанс, що ця подія станеться. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі.

Правила вирішення для «U.S. issues passport with Trump's face on it by July 31?» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.