Recent White House frustrations over the Iran war and its political fallout have fueled speculation about further cabinet turnover following the earlier exits of Pam Bondi and Kristi Noem. Tulsi Gabbard and Howard Lutnick lead trader pricing at 38% and 32% respectively, reflecting reports of internal pressure on Gabbard for declining to criticize a deputy’s resignation and on Lutnick over policy frictions and external scrutiny. Marco Rubio and Chris Wright sit close behind at 22% each amid broader Senate discussions of pre-midterm adjustments, while the 21% chance assigned to no departure before 2027 captures the administration’s recent stability relative to the first term. Multiple overlapping factors, including confirmation timelines and legislative priorities, keep the field tightly contested until a clear signal emerges from the president or Senate.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоTulsi Gabbard 38%
Howard Lutnick 34.7%
None before 2027 24%
Scott Bessent 13.9%
$11,675 Обс.
$11,675 Обс.
Dec 31, 2026
Tulsi Gabbard
38%
Howard Lutnick
35%
None before 2027
24%
Scott Bessent
14%
Susie Wiles
17%
Marco Rubio
22%
Pete Hegseth
4%
Chris Wright
21%
Brooke Rollins
3%
John Ratcliffe
3%
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
2%
J.D. Vance
2%
Russell T. Vought
2%
Scott Turner
1%
Mike Waltz
1%
Lee Zeldin
1%
Doug Burgum
1%
Doug Collins
1%
Linda McMahon
1%
Sean Duffy
<1%
Kelly Loeffler
<1%
Jamieson Greer
<1%
Tulsi Gabbard 38%
Howard Lutnick 34.7%
None before 2027 24%
Scott Bessent 13.9%
$11,675 Обс.
$11,675 Обс.
Dec 31, 2026
Tulsi Gabbard
$3,210 Обс.
38%
Howard Lutnick
$2,009 Обс.
35%
None before 2027
$223 Обс.
24%
Scott Bessent
$233 Обс.
14%
Susie Wiles
$326 Обс.
17%
Marco Rubio
$294 Обс.
22%
Pete Hegseth
$628 Обс.
4%
Chris Wright
$390 Обс.
21%
Brooke Rollins
$218 Обс.
3%
John Ratcliffe
$259 Обс.
3%
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
$333 Обс.
2%
J.D. Vance
$415 Обс.
2%
Russell T. Vought
$268 Обс.
2%
Scott Turner
$352 Обс.
1%
Mike Waltz
$270 Обс.
1%
Lee Zeldin
$294 Обс.
1%
Doug Burgum
$281 Обс.
1%
Doug Collins
$318 Обс.
1%
Linda McMahon
$321 Обс.
1%
Sean Duffy
$325 Обс.
<1%
Kelly Loeffler
$475 Обс.
<1%
Jamieson Greer
$233 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the next individual announced to leave the Trump Cabinet, or who otherwise ceases to be a member of the administration. If no one leaves by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”.
An announcement of an individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the resignation/removal takes effect.
If multiple individuals announce departures or are removed at the same time, the market will resolve to the individual who actually leaves office first. If they leave simultaneously, the market will resolve to the individual whose last name comes first alphabetically.
For the purposes of this market, the Cabinet includes Vice President, the heads of the 15 executive departments, as well as the Administrator of the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA), the President’s Chief of Staff, the Director of National Intelligence (DNI), the Director of the Office of Management and Budget (OMB), the Director of the Central Intelligence Agency (CIA), the United States Trade Representative (USTR), the Ambassador to the United Nations, the Chair of the Council of Economic Advisers (CEA), and the Administrator of the Small Business Administration (SBA). Acting officials serving in these roles are not included. The Director of the Office of Science and Technology Policy (OSTP) is not considered Cabinet-level under the current Trump administration and is excluded from this market.
An individual will be considered to have left the Cabinet if they resign from or are removed from any Cabinet-level position, even if they are subsequently appointed to a different Cabinet-level role.
If a candidate who is not already listed, assumes a listed cabinet position they will be added to the market. However, candidates who have merely been nominated for a cabinet position will not be considered to have left, even if their nomination is rejected or withdrawn.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reopening may also be used.Recent White House frustrations over the Iran war and its political fallout have fueled speculation about further cabinet turnover following the earlier exits of Pam Bondi and Kristi Noem. Tulsi Gabbard and Howard Lutnick lead trader pricing at 38% and 32% respectively, reflecting reports of internal pressure on Gabbard for declining to criticize a deputy’s resignation and on Lutnick over policy frictions and external scrutiny. Marco Rubio and Chris Wright sit close behind at 22% each amid broader Senate discussions of pre-midterm adjustments, while the 21% chance assigned to no departure before 2027 captures the administration’s recent stability relative to the first term. Multiple overlapping factors, including confirmation timelines and legislative priorities, keep the field tightly contested until a clear signal emerges from the president or Senate.
This market will resolve based on the next individual announced to leave the Trump Cabinet, or who otherwise ceases to be a member of the administration. If no one leaves by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”.
An announcement of an individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the resignation/removal takes effect.
If multiple individuals announce departures or are removed at the same time, the market will resolve to the individual who actually leaves office first. If they leave simultaneously, the market will resolve to the individual whose last name comes first alphabetically.
For the purposes of this market, the Cabinet includes Vice President, the heads of the 15 executive departments, as well as the Administrator of the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA), the President’s Chief of Staff, the Director of National Intelligence (DNI), the Director of the Office of Management and Budget (OMB), the Director of the Central Intelligence Agency (CIA), the United States Trade Representative (USTR), the Ambassador to the United Nations, the Chair of the Council of Economic Advisers (CEA), and the Administrator of the Small Business Administration (SBA). Acting officials serving in these roles are not included. The Director of the Office of Science and Technology Policy (OSTP) is not considered Cabinet-level under the current Trump administration and is excluded from this market.
An individual will be considered to have left the Cabinet if they resign from or are removed from any Cabinet-level position, even if they are subsequently appointed to a different Cabinet-level role.
If a candidate who is not already listed, assumes a listed cabinet position they will be added to the market. However, candidates who have merely been nominated for a cabinet position will not be considered to have left, even if their nomination is rejected or withdrawn.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reopening may also be used.
An announcement of an individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the resignation/removal takes effect.
If multiple individuals announce departures or are removed at the same time, the market will resolve to the individual who actually leaves office first. If they leave simultaneously, the market will resolve to the individual whose last name comes first alphabetically.
For the purposes of this market, the Cabinet includes Vice President, the heads of the 15 executive departments, as well as the Administrator of the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA), the President’s Chief of Staff, the Director of National Intelligence (DNI), the Director of the Office of Management and Budget (OMB), the Director of the Central Intelligence Agency (CIA), the United States Trade Representative (USTR), the Ambassador to the United Nations, the Chair of the Council of Economic Advisers (CEA), and the Administrator of the Small Business Administration (SBA). Acting officials serving in these roles are not included. The Director of the Office of Science and Technology Policy (OSTP) is not considered Cabinet-level under the current Trump administration and is excluded from this market.
An individual will be considered to have left the Cabinet if they resign from or are removed from any Cabinet-level position, even if they are subsequently appointed to a different Cabinet-level role.
If a candidate who is not already listed, assumes a listed cabinet position they will be added to the market. However, candidates who have merely been nominated for a cabinet position will not be considered to have left, even if their nomination is rejected or withdrawn.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reopening may also be used.
Ринок відкрито: Apr 20, 2026, 8:13 PM ET
Обсяг
$11,675Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Apr 20, 2026, 8:13 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the next individual announced to leave the Trump Cabinet, or who otherwise ceases to be a member of the administration. If no one leaves by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”.
An announcement of an individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the resignation/removal takes effect.
If multiple individuals announce departures or are removed at the same time, the market will resolve to the individual who actually leaves office first. If they leave simultaneously, the market will resolve to the individual whose last name comes first alphabetically.
For the purposes of this market, the Cabinet includes Vice President, the heads of the 15 executive departments, as well as the Administrator of the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA), the President’s Chief of Staff, the Director of National Intelligence (DNI), the Director of the Office of Management and Budget (OMB), the Director of the Central Intelligence Agency (CIA), the United States Trade Representative (USTR), the Ambassador to the United Nations, the Chair of the Council of Economic Advisers (CEA), and the Administrator of the Small Business Administration (SBA). Acting officials serving in these roles are not included. The Director of the Office of Science and Technology Policy (OSTP) is not considered Cabinet-level under the current Trump administration and is excluded from this market.
An individual will be considered to have left the Cabinet if they resign from or are removed from any Cabinet-level position, even if they are subsequently appointed to a different Cabinet-level role.
If a candidate who is not already listed, assumes a listed cabinet position they will be added to the market. However, candidates who have merely been nominated for a cabinet position will not be considered to have left, even if their nomination is rejected or withdrawn.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reopening may also be used.Recent White House frustrations over the Iran war and its political fallout have fueled speculation about further cabinet turnover following the earlier exits of Pam Bondi and Kristi Noem. Tulsi Gabbard and Howard Lutnick lead trader pricing at 38% and 32% respectively, reflecting reports of internal pressure on Gabbard for declining to criticize a deputy’s resignation and on Lutnick over policy frictions and external scrutiny. Marco Rubio and Chris Wright sit close behind at 22% each amid broader Senate discussions of pre-midterm adjustments, while the 21% chance assigned to no departure before 2027 captures the administration’s recent stability relative to the first term. Multiple overlapping factors, including confirmation timelines and legislative priorities, keep the field tightly contested until a clear signal emerges from the president or Senate.
This market will resolve based on the next individual announced to leave the Trump Cabinet, or who otherwise ceases to be a member of the administration. If no one leaves by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”.
An announcement of an individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the resignation/removal takes effect.
If multiple individuals announce departures or are removed at the same time, the market will resolve to the individual who actually leaves office first. If they leave simultaneously, the market will resolve to the individual whose last name comes first alphabetically.
For the purposes of this market, the Cabinet includes Vice President, the heads of the 15 executive departments, as well as the Administrator of the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA), the President’s Chief of Staff, the Director of National Intelligence (DNI), the Director of the Office of Management and Budget (OMB), the Director of the Central Intelligence Agency (CIA), the United States Trade Representative (USTR), the Ambassador to the United Nations, the Chair of the Council of Economic Advisers (CEA), and the Administrator of the Small Business Administration (SBA). Acting officials serving in these roles are not included. The Director of the Office of Science and Technology Policy (OSTP) is not considered Cabinet-level under the current Trump administration and is excluded from this market.
An individual will be considered to have left the Cabinet if they resign from or are removed from any Cabinet-level position, even if they are subsequently appointed to a different Cabinet-level role.
If a candidate who is not already listed, assumes a listed cabinet position they will be added to the market. However, candidates who have merely been nominated for a cabinet position will not be considered to have left, even if their nomination is rejected or withdrawn.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reopening may also be used.
An announcement of an individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the resignation/removal takes effect.
If multiple individuals announce departures or are removed at the same time, the market will resolve to the individual who actually leaves office first. If they leave simultaneously, the market will resolve to the individual whose last name comes first alphabetically.
For the purposes of this market, the Cabinet includes Vice President, the heads of the 15 executive departments, as well as the Administrator of the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA), the President’s Chief of Staff, the Director of National Intelligence (DNI), the Director of the Office of Management and Budget (OMB), the Director of the Central Intelligence Agency (CIA), the United States Trade Representative (USTR), the Ambassador to the United Nations, the Chair of the Council of Economic Advisers (CEA), and the Administrator of the Small Business Administration (SBA). Acting officials serving in these roles are not included. The Director of the Office of Science and Technology Policy (OSTP) is not considered Cabinet-level under the current Trump administration and is excluded from this market.
An individual will be considered to have left the Cabinet if they resign from or are removed from any Cabinet-level position, even if they are subsequently appointed to a different Cabinet-level role.
If a candidate who is not already listed, assumes a listed cabinet position they will be added to the market. However, candidates who have merely been nominated for a cabinet position will not be considered to have left, even if their nomination is rejected or withdrawn.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reopening may also be used.
Обсяг
$11,675Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Apr 20, 2026, 8:13 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent White House frustrations over the Iran war and its political fallout have fueled speculation about further cabinet turnover following the earlier exits of Pam Bondi and Kristi Noem. Tulsi Gabbard and Howard Lutnick lead trader pricing at 38% and 32% respectively, reflecting reports of internal pressure on Gabbard for declining to criticize a deputy’s resignation and on Lutnick over policy frictions and external scrutiny. Marco Rubio and Chris Wright sit close behind at 22% each amid broader Senate discussions of pre-midterm adjustments, while the 21% chance assigned to no departure before 2027 captures the administration’s recent stability relative to the first term. Multiple overlapping factors, including confirmation timelines and legislative priorities, keep the field tightly contested until a clear signal emerges from the president or Senate.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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