Skip to main content
icon for Who will sign U.S. x Iran deal?
Політика·Трамп

Who will sign U.S. x Iran deal?

icon for Who will sign U.S. x Iran deal?
Політика·Трамп

Who will sign U.S. x Iran deal?

$1,556,259 Обс.

Aug 1, 2026
Polymarket

$1,556,259 Обс.

Polymarket

Mohammed bin Salman

$101,413 Обс.

9%

Mishal Al-Ahmad Al-Jaber Al-Sabah

$83,742 Обс.

9%

Sheikh Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani

$86,286 Обс.

8%

Abbas Araghchi

$133,811 Обс.

6%

Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf

$132,768 Обс.

6%

Mohamed bin Zayed Al Nahyan

$28,733 Обс.

5%

Steve Witkoff

$171,844 Обс.

3%

Mojtaba Khamenei

$84,189 Обс.

3%

Marco Rubio

$97,323 Обс.

2%

Benjamin Netanyahu

$58,200 Обс.

2%

Recep Tayyip Erdogan

$15,531 Обс.

2%

Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa

$22,009 Обс.

2%

King Abdullah II

$28,016 Обс.

1%

Pete Hegseth

$57,040 Обс.

1%

Abdel Fattah el-Sisi

$11,614 Обс.

<1%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual signs a written agreement to which both the United States and the Islamic Republic of Iran are parties by July 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying agreement must be signed by the listed individual acting in an official capacity. The United States and the Islamic Republic of Iran must both be parties to the agreement; however, it is not required that representatives of either or both countries sign the agreement in order for it to qualify. The listed individual may sign on behalf of either party, a third-party state, an international organization, or any other party to the agreement. Both physical signatures and officially issued electronic signatures will qualify as signing. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant governments and parties to the agreement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent developments center on a preliminary U.S.-Iran memorandum of understanding reached in mid-June 2026 after more than 100 days of conflict that began with U.S.-Israeli strikes in February. The 14-point framework extends the existing ceasefire for 60 days, commits Iran to forgo nuclear weapons, outlines sanctions relief and oil export waivers tied to further progress, and schedules reopening of the Strait of Hormuz, with formal signing expected shortly in Geneva. Nuclear enrichment limits, highly enriched uranium stockpiles, and a $300 billion reconstruction fund remain deferred for the next negotiation round. President Trump and Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian have been central signatories to the initial document, while mediators from Pakistan and Qatar facilitated talks. The 60-day window ending around mid-August creates a clear timeline for any comprehensive follow-on agreement before the market resolution date.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual signs a written agreement to which both the United States and the Islamic Republic of Iran are parties by July 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

A qualifying agreement must be signed by the listed individual acting in an official capacity.

The United States and the Islamic Republic of Iran must both be parties to the agreement; however, it is not required that representatives of either or both countries sign the agreement in order for it to qualify.

The listed individual may sign on behalf of either party, a third-party state, an international organization, or any other party to the agreement.

Both physical signatures and officially issued electronic signatures will qualify as signing.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant governments and parties to the agreement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Обсяг
$1,556,259
Дата завершення
Aug 1, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Jun 11, 2026, 8:24 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual signs a written agreement to which both the United States and the Islamic Republic of Iran are parties by July 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying agreement must be signed by the listed individual acting in an official capacity. The United States and the Islamic Republic of Iran must both be parties to the agreement; however, it is not required that representatives of either or both countries sign the agreement in order for it to qualify. The listed individual may sign on behalf of either party, a third-party state, an international organization, or any other party to the agreement. Both physical signatures and officially issued electronic signatures will qualify as signing. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant governments and parties to the agreement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual signs a written agreement to which both the United States and the Islamic Republic of Iran are parties by July 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying agreement must be signed by the listed individual acting in an official capacity. The United States and the Islamic Republic of Iran must both be parties to the agreement; however, it is not required that representatives of either or both countries sign the agreement in order for it to qualify. The listed individual may sign on behalf of either party, a third-party state, an international organization, or any other party to the agreement. Both physical signatures and officially issued electronic signatures will qualify as signing. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant governments and parties to the agreement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent developments center on a preliminary U.S.-Iran memorandum of understanding reached in mid-June 2026 after more than 100 days of conflict that began with U.S.-Israeli strikes in February. The 14-point framework extends the existing ceasefire for 60 days, commits Iran to forgo nuclear weapons, outlines sanctions relief and oil export waivers tied to further progress, and schedules reopening of the Strait of Hormuz, with formal signing expected shortly in Geneva. Nuclear enrichment limits, highly enriched uranium stockpiles, and a $300 billion reconstruction fund remain deferred for the next negotiation round. President Trump and Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian have been central signatories to the initial document, while mediators from Pakistan and Qatar facilitated talks. The 60-day window ending around mid-August creates a clear timeline for any comprehensive follow-on agreement before the market resolution date.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual signs a written agreement to which both the United States and the Islamic Republic of Iran are parties by July 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

A qualifying agreement must be signed by the listed individual acting in an official capacity.

The United States and the Islamic Republic of Iran must both be parties to the agreement; however, it is not required that representatives of either or both countries sign the agreement in order for it to qualify.

The listed individual may sign on behalf of either party, a third-party state, an international organization, or any other party to the agreement.

Both physical signatures and officially issued electronic signatures will qualify as signing.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant governments and parties to the agreement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Обсяг
$1,556,259
Дата завершення
Aug 1, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Jun 11, 2026, 8:24 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual signs a written agreement to which both the United States and the Islamic Republic of Iran are parties by July 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying agreement must be signed by the listed individual acting in an official capacity. The United States and the Islamic Republic of Iran must both be parties to the agreement; however, it is not required that representatives of either or both countries sign the agreement in order for it to qualify. The listed individual may sign on behalf of either party, a third-party state, an international organization, or any other party to the agreement. Both physical signatures and officially issued electronic signatures will qualify as signing. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant governments and parties to the agreement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«Who will sign U.S. x Iran deal?» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 20 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «Masoud Pezeshkian» з 100%, далі «Shehbaz Sharif» з 100%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

Станом на сьогодні, «Who will sign U.S. x Iran deal?» згенерував $1.6 million загального обсягу торгів з моменту запуску ринку Jun 11, 2026. Цей рівень торгової активності відображає сильну залученість спільноти Polymarket та забезпечує, що поточні шанси базуються на глибокому пулі учасників ринку. Ви можете відстежувати рухи цін наживо та торгувати будь-яким результатом прямо на цій сторінці.

Щоб торгувати на «Who will sign U.S. x Iran deal?», перегляньте 20 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточний фаворит для «Who will sign U.S. x Iran deal?» — «Masoud Pezeshkian» з 100%. Наступний — «Shehbaz Sharif» з 100%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі, коли трейдери купують і продають акції. Слідкуйте за змінами шансів з появою нової інформації.

Правила вирішення для «Who will sign U.S. x Iran deal?» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.