The imminent June 19 signing ceremony in Switzerland for the US-Iran memorandum of understanding, following a June 14-15 framework agreement to extend the ceasefire and reopen the Strait of Hormuz, drives trader focus on attendance. Mediated by Pakistan and Qatar, the event at the Bürgenstock resort or Geneva area remains the primary near-term catalyst. US representation is unresolved, with Vice President JD Vance indicating plans to attend while noting President Trump could join; initial reports of possible remote execution have shifted toward in-person proceedings. Iranian officials and mediators are expected, though exact participants hinge on final diplomatic decisions ahead of the June 19 timeline. This uncertainty, against recent conflict de-escalation, shapes implied probabilities around high-level versus standard diplomatic attendance.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоWho will attend US-Iran signing ceremony?
$158,550 Обс.
Abbas Araghchi
69%
Sheikh Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani
48%
Shehbaz Sharif
68%
Steve Witkoff
74%
Masoud Pezeshkian
59%
King Abdullah II
7%
Mishal Al-Ahmad Al-Jaber Al-Sabah
16%
Mohammed bin Salman
3%
Marco Rubio
5%
Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa
13%
Mohamed bin Zayed Al Nahyan
13%
Benjamin Netanyahu
1%
Abdel Fattah el-Sisi
13%
Mojtaba Khamenei
1%
Pete Hegseth
3%
Recep Tayyip Erdogan
11%
JD Vance
85%
Donald Trump
21%
Jared Kushner
70%
Elon Musk
1%
$158,550 Обс.
Abbas Araghchi
69%
Sheikh Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani
48%
Shehbaz Sharif
68%
Steve Witkoff
74%
Masoud Pezeshkian
59%
King Abdullah II
7%
Mishal Al-Ahmad Al-Jaber Al-Sabah
16%
Mohammed bin Salman
3%
Marco Rubio
5%
Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa
13%
Mohamed bin Zayed Al Nahyan
13%
Benjamin Netanyahu
1%
Abdel Fattah el-Sisi
13%
Mojtaba Khamenei
1%
Pete Hegseth
3%
Recep Tayyip Erdogan
11%
JD Vance
85%
Donald Trump
21%
Jared Kushner
70%
Elon Musk
1%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual attends a signing ceremony between the United States and Iran by July 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A signing ceremony refers to any official event convened by or on behalf of the United States and Iran for the purpose of physically signing, executing, or formalizing a written agreement between the two countries, at which authorized representatives of both the United States and Iran are physically present at the same location.
Attendance at the signing ceremony refers to the listed individual being physically present at any point during the event.
If a qualifying signing ceremony occurs and the listed individual does not attend the event, this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If no qualifying signing ceremony occurs by July 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Ринок відкрито: Jun 16, 2026, 11:56 AM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual attends a signing ceremony between the United States and Iran by July 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A signing ceremony refers to any official event convened by or on behalf of the United States and Iran for the purpose of physically signing, executing, or formalizing a written agreement between the two countries, at which authorized representatives of both the United States and Iran are physically present at the same location.
Attendance at the signing ceremony refers to the listed individual being physically present at any point during the event.
If a qualifying signing ceremony occurs and the listed individual does not attend the event, this market will resolve immediately to “No”. If no qualifying signing ceremony occurs by July 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...The imminent June 19 signing ceremony in Switzerland for the US-Iran memorandum of understanding, following a June 14-15 framework agreement to extend the ceasefire and reopen the Strait of Hormuz, drives trader focus on attendance. Mediated by Pakistan and Qatar, the event at the Bürgenstock resort or Geneva area remains the primary near-term catalyst. US representation is unresolved, with Vice President JD Vance indicating plans to attend while noting President Trump could join; initial reports of possible remote execution have shifted toward in-person proceedings. Iranian officials and mediators are expected, though exact participants hinge on final diplomatic decisions ahead of the June 19 timeline. This uncertainty, against recent conflict de-escalation, shapes implied probabilities around high-level versus standard diplomatic attendance.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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