Trader consensus heavily favors "No" at 93.3% implied probability for Russia rejoining the G7 before 2027, driven by entrenched geopolitical barriers stemming from Moscow's 2022 invasion of Ukraine and subsequent Western sanctions. President Vladimir Putin's December 2025 statement explicitly ruled out any interest in returning to the G7, dismissing it during a Middle Eastern visit amid ongoing exclusion since 2014 over Crimea. Despite U.S. President Donald Trump's repeated 2025 calls for readmission—including at the June G7 summit in Canada and in a proposed Ukraine peace plan—G7 allies like Germany and Canada voiced firm opposition, citing lack of consensus without full conflict resolution. No diplomatic breakthroughs or sanction relief have emerged in 2026, with recent G7 reaffirmations maintaining pressure; only a major de-escalation in Ukraine could shift odds, though none appears imminent before year-end.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено$14,775 Обс.
$14,775 Обс.
Dec 31, 2026
$14,775 Обс.
$14,775 Обс.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Russia officially rejoins the Group of Seven (G7) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the title of the group changes (e.g., to "G8"), this market will still resolve to "Yes" so long as that group remains functionally similar to the G7.
A formal rejoining must be acknowledged by a consensus of G7 member states to qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from G7 member states, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus heavily favors "No" at 93.3% implied probability for Russia rejoining the G7 before 2027, driven by entrenched geopolitical barriers stemming from Moscow's 2022 invasion of Ukraine and subsequent Western sanctions. President Vladimir Putin's December 2025 statement explicitly ruled out any interest in returning to the G7, dismissing it during a Middle Eastern visit amid ongoing exclusion since 2014 over Crimea. Despite U.S. President Donald Trump's repeated 2025 calls for readmission—including at the June G7 summit in Canada and in a proposed Ukraine peace plan—G7 allies like Germany and Canada voiced firm opposition, citing lack of consensus without full conflict resolution. No diplomatic breakthroughs or sanction relief have emerged in 2026, with recent G7 reaffirmations maintaining pressure; only a major de-escalation in Ukraine could shift odds, though none appears imminent before year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Russia officially rejoins the Group of Seven (G7) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the title of the group changes (e.g., to "G8"), this market will still resolve to "Yes" so long as that group remains functionally similar to the G7.
A formal rejoining must be acknowledged by a consensus of G7 member states to qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from G7 member states, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If the title of the group changes (e.g., to "G8"), this market will still resolve to "Yes" so long as that group remains functionally similar to the G7.
A formal rejoining must be acknowledged by a consensus of G7 member states to qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from G7 member states, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Ринок відкрито: Nov 13, 2025, 11:25 AM ET
Обсяг
$14,775Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Nov 13, 2025, 11:25 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Russia officially rejoins the Group of Seven (G7) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the title of the group changes (e.g., to "G8"), this market will still resolve to "Yes" so long as that group remains functionally similar to the G7.
A formal rejoining must be acknowledged by a consensus of G7 member states to qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from G7 member states, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus heavily favors "No" at 93.3% implied probability for Russia rejoining the G7 before 2027, driven by entrenched geopolitical barriers stemming from Moscow's 2022 invasion of Ukraine and subsequent Western sanctions. President Vladimir Putin's December 2025 statement explicitly ruled out any interest in returning to the G7, dismissing it during a Middle Eastern visit amid ongoing exclusion since 2014 over Crimea. Despite U.S. President Donald Trump's repeated 2025 calls for readmission—including at the June G7 summit in Canada and in a proposed Ukraine peace plan—G7 allies like Germany and Canada voiced firm opposition, citing lack of consensus without full conflict resolution. No diplomatic breakthroughs or sanction relief have emerged in 2026, with recent G7 reaffirmations maintaining pressure; only a major de-escalation in Ukraine could shift odds, though none appears imminent before year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Russia officially rejoins the Group of Seven (G7) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the title of the group changes (e.g., to "G8"), this market will still resolve to "Yes" so long as that group remains functionally similar to the G7.
A formal rejoining must be acknowledged by a consensus of G7 member states to qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from G7 member states, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If the title of the group changes (e.g., to "G8"), this market will still resolve to "Yes" so long as that group remains functionally similar to the G7.
A formal rejoining must be acknowledged by a consensus of G7 member states to qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from G7 member states, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Обсяг
$14,775Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Nov 13, 2025, 11:25 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus heavily favors "No" at 93.3% implied probability for Russia rejoining the G7 before 2027, driven by entrenched geopolitical barriers stemming from Moscow's 2022 invasion of Ukraine and subsequent Western sanctions. President Vladimir Putin's December 2025 statement explicitly ruled out any interest in returning to the G7, dismissing it during a Middle Eastern visit amid ongoing exclusion since 2014 over Crimea. Despite U.S. President Donald Trump's repeated 2025 calls for readmission—including at the June G7 summit in Canada and in a proposed Ukraine peace plan—G7 allies like Germany and Canada voiced firm opposition, citing lack of consensus without full conflict resolution. No diplomatic breakthroughs or sanction relief have emerged in 2026, with recent G7 reaffirmations maintaining pressure; only a major de-escalation in Ukraine could shift odds, though none appears imminent before year-end.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання