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icon for UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?

UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?

icon for UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?

UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?

14% шанс
Polymarket

$244,059 Обс.

14% шанс
Polymarket

$244,059 Обс.

On June 14, 2026, the United States and Iran announced a written diplomatic agreement, which stated in Clause 14 that it would culminate in a “final deal” to be endorsed by a binding United Nations Security Council resolution. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United Nations Security Council formally adopts a resolution that endorses, approves, implements, gives legal effect to, or incorporates such a “final deal” by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The “final U.S.-Iran deal” refers to a diplomatic agreement identified as the final deal contemplated by the June 14, 2026, memorandum of understanding, either in the text of the resolution, official United States or Iranian communications, or by a consensus of credible reporting. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting. Recent developments have sharply reduced prospects for a final U.S.-Iran nuclear agreement endorsed by the UN Security Council before year-end. The June 2026 memorandum of understanding, which outlined a 60-day window for negotiations on nuclear limits, sanctions relief, and a binding UNSC resolution, expired in August without producing a comprehensive deal amid renewed hostilities and disputes over the Strait of Hormuz. As of September 2026, the conflict has settled into a prolonged war of attrition. Most recently, Russia and China vetoed a U.S. draft resolution on September 17 seeking to extend UN monitoring of Iran’s nuclear program, highlighting persistent divisions among permanent Security Council members. These factors have led traders to assign an 86.5% probability to no endorsing resolution passing by the deadline.

On June 14, 2026, the United States and Iran announced a written diplomatic agreement, which stated in Clause 14 that it would culminate in a “final deal” to be endorsed by a binding United Nations Security Council resolution.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United Nations Security Council formally adopts a resolution that endorses, approves, implements, gives legal effect to, or incorporates such a “final deal” by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

The “final U.S.-Iran deal” refers to a diplomatic agreement identified as the final deal contemplated by the June 14, 2026, memorandum of understanding, either in the text of the resolution, official United States or Iranian communications, or by a consensus of credible reporting.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
On June 14, 2026, the United States and Iran announced a written diplomatic agreement, which stated in Clause 14 that it would culminate in a “final deal” to be endorsed by a binding United Nations Security Council resolution. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United Nations Security Council formally adopts a resolution that endorses, approves, implements, gives legal effect to, or incorporates such a “final deal” by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The “final U.S.-Iran deal” refers to a diplomatic agreement identified as the final deal contemplated by the June 14, 2026, memorandum of understanding, either in the text of the resolution, official United States or Iranian communications, or by a consensus of credible reporting. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Обсяг
$244,059
Дата завершення
Jan 1, 2027
Ринок відкрито
Jun 23, 2026, 12:51 AM ET

Вирішувач

0x65070BE91...
On June 14, 2026, the United States and Iran announced a written diplomatic agreement, which stated in Clause 14 that it would culminate in a “final deal” to be endorsed by a binding United Nations Security Council resolution. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United Nations Security Council formally adopts a resolution that endorses, approves, implements, gives legal effect to, or incorporates such a “final deal” by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The “final U.S.-Iran deal” refers to a diplomatic agreement identified as the final deal contemplated by the June 14, 2026, memorandum of understanding, either in the text of the resolution, official United States or Iranian communications, or by a consensus of credible reporting. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting. Recent developments have sharply reduced prospects for a final U.S.-Iran nuclear agreement endorsed by the UN Security Council before year-end. The June 2026 memorandum of understanding, which outlined a 60-day window for negotiations on nuclear limits, sanctions relief, and a binding UNSC resolution, expired in August without producing a comprehensive deal amid renewed hostilities and disputes over the Strait of Hormuz. As of September 2026, the conflict has settled into a prolonged war of attrition. Most recently, Russia and China vetoed a U.S. draft resolution on September 17 seeking to extend UN monitoring of Iran’s nuclear program, highlighting persistent divisions among permanent Security Council members. These factors have led traders to assign an 86.5% probability to no endorsing resolution passing by the deadline.

On June 14, 2026, the United States and Iran announced a written diplomatic agreement, which stated in Clause 14 that it would culminate in a “final deal” to be endorsed by a binding United Nations Security Council resolution.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United Nations Security Council formally adopts a resolution that endorses, approves, implements, gives legal effect to, or incorporates such a “final deal” by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

The “final U.S.-Iran deal” refers to a diplomatic agreement identified as the final deal contemplated by the June 14, 2026, memorandum of understanding, either in the text of the resolution, official United States or Iranian communications, or by a consensus of credible reporting.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
On June 14, 2026, the United States and Iran announced a written diplomatic agreement, which stated in Clause 14 that it would culminate in a “final deal” to be endorsed by a binding United Nations Security Council resolution. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United Nations Security Council formally adopts a resolution that endorses, approves, implements, gives legal effect to, or incorporates such a “final deal” by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The “final U.S.-Iran deal” refers to a diplomatic agreement identified as the final deal contemplated by the June 14, 2026, memorandum of understanding, either in the text of the resolution, official United States or Iranian communications, or by a consensus of credible reporting. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Обсяг
$244,059
Дата завершення
Jan 1, 2027
Ринок відкрито
Jun 23, 2026, 12:51 AM ET

Вирішувач

0x65070BE91...

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket, де трейдери купують і продають акції «Так» або «Ні» залежно від того, чи вірять вони, що ця подія станеться. Поточна краудсорсингова ймовірність — 14% для «Yes». Наприклад, якщо «Так» коштує 14¢, ринок колективно оцінює шанс цієї події в 14%. Ці шанси безперервно змінюються, коли трейдери реагують на нові події. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

Станом на сьогодні, «UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?» згенерував $244.1K загального обсягу торгів з моменту запуску ринку Jun 23, 2026. Цей рівень торгової активності відображає сильну залученість спільноти Polymarket та забезпечує, що поточні шанси базуються на глибокому пулі учасників ринку. Ви можете відстежувати рухи цін наживо та торгувати будь-яким результатом прямо на цій сторінці.

Щоб торгувати на «UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?», просто оберіть, чи вірите ви, що відповідь — «Так» або «Ні». Кожна сторона має поточну ціну, що відображає ймовірність ринку. Введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ви купили акції «Так» і результат — «Так», кожна акція виплачує $1. Якщо «Ні» — ваші акції «Так» коштують $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточна ймовірність для «UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?» — 14% для «Yes». Це означає, що спільнота Polymarket вважає, що є 14% шанс, що ця подія станеться. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі.

Правила вирішення для «UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.