A targeted U.S. military operation in Venezuela on January 3, 2026, captured Nicolás Maduro through a brief special operations raid and airstrikes without establishing territorial control or launching sustained ground combat, aligning with the administration's focus on counter-narcotics and border security rather than occupation. Subsequent actions have stayed limited to maritime interdictions, joint strikes against cartels in Ecuador and Colombia, and sanctions on Cuba, with official statements emphasizing drug interdiction and external influence rather than regime change through invasion. As of mid-May 2026, with no escalation toward prolonged military presence in any Latin American nation and half the year elapsed, trader consensus on a low probability of full-scale invasion reflects the absence of historical preconditions like large-scale troop deployments or congressional authorization for occupation.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено$220,329 Обс.
$220,329 Обс.
Dec 31, 2026
$220,329 Обс.
$220,329 Обс.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of the land territory of Latin American country by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by the relevant country or the United States as market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
Qualifying Latin America countries: Belize, Costa Rica, El Salvador, Guatemala, Honduras, Mexico, Nicaragua, Panama, Argentina, Bolivia, Brazil, Chile, Colombia, Ecuador, Guyana, Paraguay, Peru, Suriname, Uruguay, Venezuela,, Cuba, Dominican Republic, Haiti
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.A targeted U.S. military operation in Venezuela on January 3, 2026, captured Nicolás Maduro through a brief special operations raid and airstrikes without establishing territorial control or launching sustained ground combat, aligning with the administration's focus on counter-narcotics and border security rather than occupation. Subsequent actions have stayed limited to maritime interdictions, joint strikes against cartels in Ecuador and Colombia, and sanctions on Cuba, with official statements emphasizing drug interdiction and external influence rather than regime change through invasion. As of mid-May 2026, with no escalation toward prolonged military presence in any Latin American nation and half the year elapsed, trader consensus on a low probability of full-scale invasion reflects the absence of historical preconditions like large-scale troop deployments or congressional authorization for occupation.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of the land territory of Latin American country by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by the relevant country or the United States as market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
Qualifying Latin America countries: Belize, Costa Rica, El Salvador, Guatemala, Honduras, Mexico, Nicaragua, Panama, Argentina, Bolivia, Brazil, Chile, Colombia, Ecuador, Guyana, Paraguay, Peru, Suriname, Uruguay, Venezuela,, Cuba, Dominican Republic, Haiti
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by the relevant country or the United States as market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
Qualifying Latin America countries: Belize, Costa Rica, El Salvador, Guatemala, Honduras, Mexico, Nicaragua, Panama, Argentina, Bolivia, Brazil, Chile, Colombia, Ecuador, Guyana, Paraguay, Peru, Suriname, Uruguay, Venezuela,, Cuba, Dominican Republic, Haiti
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
Ринок відкрито: Jan 4, 2026, 4:03 PM ET
Обсяг
$220,329Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 4, 2026, 4:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of the land territory of Latin American country by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by the relevant country or the United States as market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
Qualifying Latin America countries: Belize, Costa Rica, El Salvador, Guatemala, Honduras, Mexico, Nicaragua, Panama, Argentina, Bolivia, Brazil, Chile, Colombia, Ecuador, Guyana, Paraguay, Peru, Suriname, Uruguay, Venezuela,, Cuba, Dominican Republic, Haiti
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.A targeted U.S. military operation in Venezuela on January 3, 2026, captured Nicolás Maduro through a brief special operations raid and airstrikes without establishing territorial control or launching sustained ground combat, aligning with the administration's focus on counter-narcotics and border security rather than occupation. Subsequent actions have stayed limited to maritime interdictions, joint strikes against cartels in Ecuador and Colombia, and sanctions on Cuba, with official statements emphasizing drug interdiction and external influence rather than regime change through invasion. As of mid-May 2026, with no escalation toward prolonged military presence in any Latin American nation and half the year elapsed, trader consensus on a low probability of full-scale invasion reflects the absence of historical preconditions like large-scale troop deployments or congressional authorization for occupation.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of the land territory of Latin American country by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by the relevant country or the United States as market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
Qualifying Latin America countries: Belize, Costa Rica, El Salvador, Guatemala, Honduras, Mexico, Nicaragua, Panama, Argentina, Bolivia, Brazil, Chile, Colombia, Ecuador, Guyana, Paraguay, Peru, Suriname, Uruguay, Venezuela,, Cuba, Dominican Republic, Haiti
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by the relevant country or the United States as market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
Qualifying Latin America countries: Belize, Costa Rica, El Salvador, Guatemala, Honduras, Mexico, Nicaragua, Panama, Argentina, Bolivia, Brazil, Chile, Colombia, Ecuador, Guyana, Paraguay, Peru, Suriname, Uruguay, Venezuela,, Cuba, Dominican Republic, Haiti
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
Обсяг
$220,329Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 4, 2026, 4:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...A targeted U.S. military operation in Venezuela on January 3, 2026, captured Nicolás Maduro through a brief special operations raid and airstrikes without establishing territorial control or launching sustained ground combat, aligning with the administration's focus on counter-narcotics and border security rather than occupation. Subsequent actions have stayed limited to maritime interdictions, joint strikes against cartels in Ecuador and Colombia, and sanctions on Cuba, with official statements emphasizing drug interdiction and external influence rather than regime change through invasion. As of mid-May 2026, with no escalation toward prolonged military presence in any Latin American nation and half the year elapsed, trader consensus on a low probability of full-scale invasion reflects the absence of historical preconditions like large-scale troop deployments or congressional authorization for occupation.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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