President Trump and economic advisers have discussed potential capital gains adjustments, including inflation indexing of basis and expanded exemptions on primary residence sales, as possible midterm campaign pledges in August 2026. These remain exploratory ideas without a formal legislative proposal or administration action. The One Big Beautiful Bill Act of 2025 made many 2017 Tax Cuts and Jobs Act provisions permanent but omitted further structural changes to long-term capital gains rates or treatment. Congressional passage of rate reductions or major reforms faces tight timelines before the 2026 midterms, competing priorities, and procedural requirements, leading traders to assign an 85.5% probability that no cut takes effect before 2027.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено9% шанс
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Dec 30, 2026
9% шанс
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Dec 30, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if legislation that reduces the federal long-term capital gains tax rate for the highest bracket is signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A reduction to the top income bracket for long term capital gains tax (20%) within market timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes". The reduction must apply to the federal long-term capital gains tax rate for individuals and can take effect outside of this market's timeframe.
Temporary reductions or breaks, or changes that do not directly lower the tax rate, such as adjustments to brackets or deductions, will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.President Trump and economic advisers have discussed potential capital gains adjustments, including inflation indexing of basis and expanded exemptions on primary residence sales, as possible midterm campaign pledges in August 2026. These remain exploratory ideas without a formal legislative proposal or administration action. The One Big Beautiful Bill Act of 2025 made many 2017 Tax Cuts and Jobs Act provisions permanent but omitted further structural changes to long-term capital gains rates or treatment. Congressional passage of rate reductions or major reforms faces tight timelines before the 2026 midterms, competing priorities, and procedural requirements, leading traders to assign an 85.5% probability that no cut takes effect before 2027.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if legislation that reduces the federal long-term capital gains tax rate for the highest bracket is signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A reduction to the top income bracket for long term capital gains tax (20%) within market timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes". The reduction must apply to the federal long-term capital gains tax rate for individuals and can take effect outside of this market's timeframe.
Temporary reductions or breaks, or changes that do not directly lower the tax rate, such as adjustments to brackets or deductions, will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A reduction to the top income bracket for long term capital gains tax (20%) within market timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes". The reduction must apply to the federal long-term capital gains tax rate for individuals and can take effect outside of this market's timeframe.
Temporary reductions or breaks, or changes that do not directly lower the tax rate, such as adjustments to brackets or deductions, will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Ринок відкрито: Nov 5, 2025, 2:04 PM ET
Обсяг
$2,141Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Nov 5, 2025, 2:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if legislation that reduces the federal long-term capital gains tax rate for the highest bracket is signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A reduction to the top income bracket for long term capital gains tax (20%) within market timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes". The reduction must apply to the federal long-term capital gains tax rate for individuals and can take effect outside of this market's timeframe.
Temporary reductions or breaks, or changes that do not directly lower the tax rate, such as adjustments to brackets or deductions, will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.President Trump and economic advisers have discussed potential capital gains adjustments, including inflation indexing of basis and expanded exemptions on primary residence sales, as possible midterm campaign pledges in August 2026. These remain exploratory ideas without a formal legislative proposal or administration action. The One Big Beautiful Bill Act of 2025 made many 2017 Tax Cuts and Jobs Act provisions permanent but omitted further structural changes to long-term capital gains rates or treatment. Congressional passage of rate reductions or major reforms faces tight timelines before the 2026 midterms, competing priorities, and procedural requirements, leading traders to assign an 85.5% probability that no cut takes effect before 2027.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if legislation that reduces the federal long-term capital gains tax rate for the highest bracket is signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A reduction to the top income bracket for long term capital gains tax (20%) within market timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes". The reduction must apply to the federal long-term capital gains tax rate for individuals and can take effect outside of this market's timeframe.
Temporary reductions or breaks, or changes that do not directly lower the tax rate, such as adjustments to brackets or deductions, will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A reduction to the top income bracket for long term capital gains tax (20%) within market timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes". The reduction must apply to the federal long-term capital gains tax rate for individuals and can take effect outside of this market's timeframe.
Temporary reductions or breaks, or changes that do not directly lower the tax rate, such as adjustments to brackets or deductions, will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Обсяг
$2,141Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Nov 5, 2025, 2:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President Trump and economic advisers have discussed potential capital gains adjustments, including inflation indexing of basis and expanded exemptions on primary residence sales, as possible midterm campaign pledges in August 2026. These remain exploratory ideas without a formal legislative proposal or administration action. The One Big Beautiful Bill Act of 2025 made many 2017 Tax Cuts and Jobs Act provisions permanent but omitted further structural changes to long-term capital gains rates or treatment. Congressional passage of rate reductions or major reforms faces tight timelines before the 2026 midterms, competing priorities, and procedural requirements, leading traders to assign an 85.5% probability that no cut takes effect before 2027.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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