Donald Trump's established pattern of incorporating personal attacks into public statements on Truth Social and during media interactions continues to drive elevated probabilities in these daily resolution markets. Recent posts have included derogatory references to Democrats, congressional figures such as Ro Khanna, and reporters questioning policy costs, with affirmative outcomes resolving on multiple May dates at probabilities exceeding 85 percent. Ongoing public events, including speeches and diplomatic activities, sustain opportunities for similar rhetoric, while the absence of major schedule changes or institutional constraints leaves room for shifts based on immediate developments within the resolution window.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоWill Trump publicly insult someone on...?
Will Trump publicly insult someone on...?
$507,739 Обс.
May 31, 2026
May 18
94%
May 19
93%
May 20
91%
May 21
90%
May 22
93%
May 23
91%
May 24
90%
May 25
91%
May 26
91%
May 27
89%
May 28
91%
May 29
91%
May 30
91%
May 31
90%
$507,739 Обс.
May 18
$7,245 Обс.
94%
May 19
$1,979 Обс.
93%
May 20
$1,796 Обс.
91%
May 21
$747 Обс.
90%
May 22
$1,058 Обс.
93%
May 23
$147 Обс.
91%
May 24
$497 Обс.
90%
May 25
$626 Обс.
91%
May 26
$735 Обс.
91%
May 27
$1,035 Обс.
89%
May 28
$523 Обс.
91%
May 29
$383 Обс.
91%
May 30
$97 Обс.
91%
May 31
$399 Обс.
90%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks any non-fictional individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Donald Trump's established pattern of incorporating personal attacks into public statements on Truth Social and during media interactions continues to drive elevated probabilities in these daily resolution markets. Recent posts have included derogatory references to Democrats, congressional figures such as Ro Khanna, and reporters questioning policy costs, with affirmative outcomes resolving on multiple May dates at probabilities exceeding 85 percent. Ongoing public events, including speeches and diplomatic activities, sustain opportunities for similar rhetoric, while the absence of major schedule changes or institutional constraints leaves room for shifts based on immediate developments within the resolution window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks any non-fictional individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Ринок відкрито: Apr 30, 2026, 11:29 AM ET
Обсяг
$507,739Дата завершення
May 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Apr 30, 2026, 11:29 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks any non-fictional individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Donald Trump's established pattern of incorporating personal attacks into public statements on Truth Social and during media interactions continues to drive elevated probabilities in these daily resolution markets. Recent posts have included derogatory references to Democrats, congressional figures such as Ro Khanna, and reporters questioning policy costs, with affirmative outcomes resolving on multiple May dates at probabilities exceeding 85 percent. Ongoing public events, including speeches and diplomatic activities, sustain opportunities for similar rhetoric, while the absence of major schedule changes or institutional constraints leaves room for shifts based on immediate developments within the resolution window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks any non-fictional individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Обсяг
$507,739Дата завершення
May 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Apr 30, 2026, 11:29 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Donald Trump's established pattern of incorporating personal attacks into public statements on Truth Social and during media interactions continues to drive elevated probabilities in these daily resolution markets. Recent posts have included derogatory references to Democrats, congressional figures such as Ro Khanna, and reporters questioning policy costs, with affirmative outcomes resolving on multiple May dates at probabilities exceeding 85 percent. Ongoing public events, including speeches and diplomatic activities, sustain opportunities for similar rhetoric, while the absence of major schedule changes or institutional constraints leaves room for shifts based on immediate developments within the resolution window.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання