Recent polling averages ahead of the May 17 Andalusian regional election place Vox vote share in the 13–16 percent range, producing seat projections clustered between 14 and 19 in the 109-seat parliament. Multiple surveys from Gesop, IMOP, GAD3 and SigmaDos converge on this band, reflecting steady but limited support that has not matched earlier upward trends observed in other Spanish regions. The center-right PP remains on course for 52–58 seats, close to or just above the 55-seat majority threshold, reducing immediate pressure for a Vox alliance and thereby anchoring trader expectations around the middle of Vox’s projected range. With voting underway, final seat allocation will depend on turnout and district-level distribution, yet the current consensus of 16–18 seats continues to command the highest implied probability.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật16-18 52%
13-15 26%
19-21 16%
22+ 13.9%
$7,373 KL.
$7,373 KL.
May 17, 2026
<13
5%
13-15
26%
16-18
52%
19-21
16%
22+
9%
16-18 52%
13-15 26%
19-21 16%
22+ 13.9%
$7,373 KL.
$7,373 KL.
May 17, 2026
<13
$801 KL.
5%
13-15
$765 KL.
26%
16-18
$1,055 KL.
52%
19-21
$1,802 KL.
16%
22+
$2,950 KL.
9%
Elections for the autonomous community of Andalusia’s unicameral parliament are scheduled for May 17, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by VOX (VOX) in the Parliament of Andalusia as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by VOX (VOX) in this election.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Spanish Junta Electoral Central (JEC) (https://www.juntaelectoralcentral.es/cs/jec/inicio).Recent polling averages ahead of the May 17 Andalusian regional election place Vox vote share in the 13–16 percent range, producing seat projections clustered between 14 and 19 in the 109-seat parliament. Multiple surveys from Gesop, IMOP, GAD3 and SigmaDos converge on this band, reflecting steady but limited support that has not matched earlier upward trends observed in other Spanish regions. The center-right PP remains on course for 52–58 seats, close to or just above the 55-seat majority threshold, reducing immediate pressure for a Vox alliance and thereby anchoring trader expectations around the middle of Vox’s projected range. With voting underway, final seat allocation will depend on turnout and district-level distribution, yet the current consensus of 16–18 seats continues to command the highest implied probability.
Elections for the autonomous community of Andalusia’s unicameral parliament are scheduled for May 17, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by VOX (VOX) in the Parliament of Andalusia as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by VOX (VOX) in this election.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Spanish Junta Electoral Central (JEC) (https://www.juntaelectoralcentral.es/cs/jec/inicio).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by VOX (VOX) in the Parliament of Andalusia as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by VOX (VOX) in this election.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Spanish Junta Electoral Central (JEC) (https://www.juntaelectoralcentral.es/cs/jec/inicio).
Thị trường mở: Apr 16, 2026, 7:41 PM ET
Khối lượng
$7,373Ngày kết thúc
May 17, 2026Thị trường mở
Apr 16, 2026, 7:41 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Elections for the autonomous community of Andalusia’s unicameral parliament are scheduled for May 17, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by VOX (VOX) in the Parliament of Andalusia as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by VOX (VOX) in this election.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Spanish Junta Electoral Central (JEC) (https://www.juntaelectoralcentral.es/cs/jec/inicio).Recent polling averages ahead of the May 17 Andalusian regional election place Vox vote share in the 13–16 percent range, producing seat projections clustered between 14 and 19 in the 109-seat parliament. Multiple surveys from Gesop, IMOP, GAD3 and SigmaDos converge on this band, reflecting steady but limited support that has not matched earlier upward trends observed in other Spanish regions. The center-right PP remains on course for 52–58 seats, close to or just above the 55-seat majority threshold, reducing immediate pressure for a Vox alliance and thereby anchoring trader expectations around the middle of Vox’s projected range. With voting underway, final seat allocation will depend on turnout and district-level distribution, yet the current consensus of 16–18 seats continues to command the highest implied probability.
Elections for the autonomous community of Andalusia’s unicameral parliament are scheduled for May 17, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by VOX (VOX) in the Parliament of Andalusia as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by VOX (VOX) in this election.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Spanish Junta Electoral Central (JEC) (https://www.juntaelectoralcentral.es/cs/jec/inicio).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by VOX (VOX) in the Parliament of Andalusia as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by VOX (VOX) in this election.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the Spanish Junta Electoral Central (JEC) (https://www.juntaelectoralcentral.es/cs/jec/inicio).
Khối lượng
$7,373Ngày kết thúc
May 17, 2026Thị trường mở
Apr 16, 2026, 7:41 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling averages ahead of the May 17 Andalusian regional election place Vox vote share in the 13–16 percent range, producing seat projections clustered between 14 and 19 in the 109-seat parliament. Multiple surveys from Gesop, IMOP, GAD3 and SigmaDos converge on this band, reflecting steady but limited support that has not matched earlier upward trends observed in other Spanish regions. The center-right PP remains on course for 52–58 seats, close to or just above the 55-seat majority threshold, reducing immediate pressure for a Vox alliance and thereby anchoring trader expectations around the middle of Vox’s projected range. With voting underway, final seat allocation will depend on turnout and district-level distribution, yet the current consensus of 16–18 seats continues to command the highest implied probability.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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