Arkansas's longstanding Republican dominance in federal elections underpins the strong trader consensus favoring the GOP nominee for the 2026 Senate seat. Incumbent Tom Cotton secured the Republican nomination easily in the March primaries against limited opposition, while Democrat Hallie Shoffner emerged as her party's standard-bearer in a state that last elected a Democratic senator in 2008. Recent polling averages reflect double-digit Republican leads, consistent with the state's voting patterns and limited Democratic infrastructure. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or an unexpected national midterm shift could still narrow the gap, though such factors have rarely altered outcomes in comparable Arkansas contests.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtArkansas Senate Election Winner
Arkansas Senate Election Winner
$13,754 KL.
$13,754 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican
94%
Democrat
4%
$13,754 KL.
$13,754 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican
$9,987 KL.
94%
Democrat
$3,767 KL.
4%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Arkansas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Arkansas's longstanding Republican dominance in federal elections underpins the strong trader consensus favoring the GOP nominee for the 2026 Senate seat. Incumbent Tom Cotton secured the Republican nomination easily in the March primaries against limited opposition, while Democrat Hallie Shoffner emerged as her party's standard-bearer in a state that last elected a Democratic senator in 2008. Recent polling averages reflect double-digit Republican leads, consistent with the state's voting patterns and limited Democratic infrastructure. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or an unexpected national midterm shift could still narrow the gap, though such factors have rarely altered outcomes in comparable Arkansas contests.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Arkansas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Thị trường mở: Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ET
Khối lượng
$13,754Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Arkansas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Arkansas's longstanding Republican dominance in federal elections underpins the strong trader consensus favoring the GOP nominee for the 2026 Senate seat. Incumbent Tom Cotton secured the Republican nomination easily in the March primaries against limited opposition, while Democrat Hallie Shoffner emerged as her party's standard-bearer in a state that last elected a Democratic senator in 2008. Recent polling averages reflect double-digit Republican leads, consistent with the state's voting patterns and limited Democratic infrastructure. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or an unexpected national midterm shift could still narrow the gap, though such factors have rarely altered outcomes in comparable Arkansas contests.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Arkansas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Khối lượng
$13,754Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Arkansas's longstanding Republican dominance in federal elections underpins the strong trader consensus favoring the GOP nominee for the 2026 Senate seat. Incumbent Tom Cotton secured the Republican nomination easily in the March primaries against limited opposition, while Democrat Hallie Shoffner emerged as her party's standard-bearer in a state that last elected a Democratic senator in 2008. Recent polling averages reflect double-digit Republican leads, consistent with the state's voting patterns and limited Democratic infrastructure. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or an unexpected national midterm shift could still narrow the gap, though such factors have rarely altered outcomes in comparable Arkansas contests.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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