In California's 4th Congressional District, incumbent Democrat Mike Thompson seeks his 15th term in the June 2, 2026, top-two primary against Democratic challenger Eric Jones, who has raised substantial funds and secured endorsements from progressive groups. The district's strong Democratic lean and redrawn boundaries after Proposition 50 favor Thompson's moderate record and long tenure, while Jones focuses on mobilizing younger voters. A crowded field of six Republicans risks splitting the minority-party vote, which could allow both leading Democrats to advance under the state's nonpartisan primary rules. No major late developments have shifted candidate positioning since the March filing deadline, leaving fundraising totals and local turnout efforts as the primary factors traders monitor ahead of election day.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtCA-04 Primary Winners
$30,145 KL.
Mike Thompson
97%
Eric Jones
90%
Heath Fulkerson
11%
John Wesley Tyler
8%
Trevor Merrell
8%
Laurie MacKenzie
5%
Sharon Brown
2%
Mandy Ghusar
<1%
$30,145 KL.
Mike Thompson
97%
Eric Jones
90%
Heath Fulkerson
11%
John Wesley Tyler
8%
Trevor Merrell
8%
Laurie MacKenzie
5%
Sharon Brown
2%
Mandy Ghusar
<1%
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 4th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Thị trường mở: Feb 26, 2026, 5:37 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 4th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...In California's 4th Congressional District, incumbent Democrat Mike Thompson seeks his 15th term in the June 2, 2026, top-two primary against Democratic challenger Eric Jones, who has raised substantial funds and secured endorsements from progressive groups. The district's strong Democratic lean and redrawn boundaries after Proposition 50 favor Thompson's moderate record and long tenure, while Jones focuses on mobilizing younger voters. A crowded field of six Republicans risks splitting the minority-party vote, which could allow both leading Democrats to advance under the state's nonpartisan primary rules. No major late developments have shifted candidate positioning since the March filing deadline, leaving fundraising totals and local turnout efforts as the primary factors traders monitor ahead of election day.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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