Incumbent Representative Mike Thompson seeks renomination in California's 4th congressional district primary on June 2, facing Democratic challenger Eric Jones alongside a crowded Republican field that includes Sharon Brown, Mandy Ghusar, and Jimih Jones. The nonpartisan top-two format advances the two highest vote-getters to the November general, where the district's strong Democratic tilt and Thompson's 28-year incumbency create structural advantages. Candidate filing closed in March with no late entries or major endorsements reported since, leaving fundraising records and voter turnout in the Napa Valley and North Bay counties as key variables. Historical patterns of low primary turnout and fragmented opposition support consolidation around the sitting member ahead of the general election.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtCA-04 Primary Winners
CA-04 Primary Winners
$30,130 KL.
Jun 2, 2026
Mike Thompson
97%
Eric Jones
90%
Heath Fulkerson
11%
John Wesley Tyler
8%
Trevor Merrell
6%
Laurie MacKenzie
5%
Sharon Brown
2%
Mandy Ghusar
<1%
$30,130 KL.
Mike Thompson
$7,192 KL.
97%
Eric Jones
$4,925 KL.
90%
Heath Fulkerson
$396 KL.
11%
John Wesley Tyler
$894 KL.
8%
Trevor Merrell
$9,889 KL.
6%
Laurie MacKenzie
$710 KL.
5%
Sharon Brown
$3,429 KL.
2%
Mandy Ghusar
$2,695 KL.
<1%
The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 4th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Representative Mike Thompson seeks renomination in California's 4th congressional district primary on June 2, facing Democratic challenger Eric Jones alongside a crowded Republican field that includes Sharon Brown, Mandy Ghusar, and Jimih Jones. The nonpartisan top-two format advances the two highest vote-getters to the November general, where the district's strong Democratic tilt and Thompson's 28-year incumbency create structural advantages. Candidate filing closed in March with no late entries or major endorsements reported since, leaving fundraising records and voter turnout in the Napa Valley and North Bay counties as key variables. Historical patterns of low primary turnout and fragmented opposition support consolidation around the sitting member ahead of the general election.
The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 4th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 4th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Thị trường mở: Feb 26, 2026, 5:37 PM ET
Khối lượng
$30,130Ngày kết thúc
Jun 2, 2026Thị trường mở
Feb 26, 2026, 5:37 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 4th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Representative Mike Thompson seeks renomination in California's 4th congressional district primary on June 2, facing Democratic challenger Eric Jones alongside a crowded Republican field that includes Sharon Brown, Mandy Ghusar, and Jimih Jones. The nonpartisan top-two format advances the two highest vote-getters to the November general, where the district's strong Democratic tilt and Thompson's 28-year incumbency create structural advantages. Candidate filing closed in March with no late entries or major endorsements reported since, leaving fundraising records and voter turnout in the Napa Valley and North Bay counties as key variables. Historical patterns of low primary turnout and fragmented opposition support consolidation around the sitting member ahead of the general election.
The California primary is currently scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 4th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for California's 4th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Khối lượng
$30,130Ngày kết thúc
Jun 2, 2026Thị trường mở
Feb 26, 2026, 5:37 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Incumbent Representative Mike Thompson seeks renomination in California's 4th congressional district primary on June 2, facing Democratic challenger Eric Jones alongside a crowded Republican field that includes Sharon Brown, Mandy Ghusar, and Jimih Jones. The nonpartisan top-two format advances the two highest vote-getters to the November general, where the district's strong Democratic tilt and Thompson's 28-year incumbency create structural advantages. Candidate filing closed in March with no late entries or major endorsements reported since, leaving fundraising records and voter turnout in the Napa Valley and North Bay counties as key variables. Historical patterns of low primary turnout and fragmented opposition support consolidation around the sitting member ahead of the general election.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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