Anthropic’s rapid iteration on its Claude family, including recent releases like Opus 5, Fable 5, and Mythos variants, drives current trader sentiment by delivering leading scores on Humanity’s Last Exam, a 2,500-question expert-level benchmark spanning math, science, and humanities. As of mid-August 2026, Claude models top multiple leaderboards with results ranging from 55.5% to 64.7% depending on evaluation settings such as adaptive reasoning, tool use, and max effort, outpacing GPT-5 variants and Gemini 3 models through improved long-context handling and multidisciplinary reasoning. Competitive pressure from OpenAI and Google, combined with Anthropic’s emphasis on frontier capabilities, sustains momentum, while potential late-2026 model updates or benchmark revisions remain key swing factors for the year’s highest Claude score.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật$60,637 KL.
Dec 31, 2026
55%+
86%
60%+
59%
65%+
16%
70%+
9%
75%+
5%
$60,637 KL.
55%+
$15,464 KL.
86%
60%+
$24,244 KL.
59%
65%+
$17,354 KL.
16%
70%+
$2,555 KL.
9%
75%+
$1,021 KL.
5%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Anthropic Claude model achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".Anthropic’s rapid iteration on its Claude family, including recent releases like Opus 5, Fable 5, and Mythos variants, drives current trader sentiment by delivering leading scores on Humanity’s Last Exam, a 2,500-question expert-level benchmark spanning math, science, and humanities. As of mid-August 2026, Claude models top multiple leaderboards with results ranging from 55.5% to 64.7% depending on evaluation settings such as adaptive reasoning, tool use, and max effort, outpacing GPT-5 variants and Gemini 3 models through improved long-context handling and multidisciplinary reasoning. Competitive pressure from OpenAI and Google, combined with Anthropic’s emphasis on frontier capabilities, sustains momentum, while potential late-2026 model updates or benchmark revisions remain key swing factors for the year’s highest Claude score.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Anthropic Claude model achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".
Thị trường mở: Jul 23, 2026, 6:42 PM ET
Khối lượng
$60,637Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Jul 23, 2026, 6:42 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://agi.safe.ai/Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Anthropic Claude model achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".Anthropic’s rapid iteration on its Claude family, including recent releases like Opus 5, Fable 5, and Mythos variants, drives current trader sentiment by delivering leading scores on Humanity’s Last Exam, a 2,500-question expert-level benchmark spanning math, science, and humanities. As of mid-August 2026, Claude models top multiple leaderboards with results ranging from 55.5% to 64.7% depending on evaluation settings such as adaptive reasoning, tool use, and max effort, outpacing GPT-5 variants and Gemini 3 models through improved long-context handling and multidisciplinary reasoning. Competitive pressure from OpenAI and Google, combined with Anthropic’s emphasis on frontier capabilities, sustains momentum, while potential late-2026 model updates or benchmark revisions remain key swing factors for the year’s highest Claude score.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Anthropic Claude model achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".
Khối lượng
$60,637Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Jul 23, 2026, 6:42 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://agi.safe.ai/Resolver
0x65070BE91...Anthropic’s rapid iteration on its Claude family, including recent releases like Opus 5, Fable 5, and Mythos variants, drives current trader sentiment by delivering leading scores on Humanity’s Last Exam, a 2,500-question expert-level benchmark spanning math, science, and humanities. As of mid-August 2026, Claude models top multiple leaderboards with results ranging from 55.5% to 64.7% depending on evaluation settings such as adaptive reasoning, tool use, and max effort, outpacing GPT-5 variants and Gemini 3 models through improved long-context handling and multidisciplinary reasoning. Competitive pressure from OpenAI and Google, combined with Anthropic’s emphasis on frontier capabilities, sustains momentum, while potential late-2026 model updates or benchmark revisions remain key swing factors for the year’s highest Claude score.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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