Recent meteorological forecasts for Ankara on August 16 point to a daytime maximum near 27–29°C, aligning with the market’s strong preference for 27°C. Ankara’s continental climate at roughly 900 m elevation typically produces hot, dry August afternoons averaging 30–31°C, yet current model consensus from sources like BBC Weather and extended-range guidance shows slightly suppressed highs. This reflects northerly flow and reduced insolation under partly cloudy conditions rather than peak summer high-pressure dominance. Ensemble spreads remain tight around the 26–28°C range, with lower probabilities assigned to outliers because recent observations indicate a modest cooling trend from mid-month peaks. Updated short-range runs expected overnight will refine the final value ahead of market resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Ankara on August 16?
27°C 55%
26°C 25%
28°C 15%
25°C 3.8%
$13,057 KL.
$13,057 KL.
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
4%
26°C
25%
27°C
55%
28°C
15%
29°C
3%
30°C
1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
27°C 55%
26°C 25%
28°C 15%
25°C 3.8%
$13,057 KL.
$13,057 KL.
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
4%
26°C
25%
27°C
55%
28°C
15%
29°C
3%
30°C
1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent meteorological forecasts for Ankara on August 16 point to a daytime maximum near 27–29°C, aligning with the market’s strong preference for 27°C. Ankara’s continental climate at roughly 900 m elevation typically produces hot, dry August afternoons averaging 30–31°C, yet current model consensus from sources like BBC Weather and extended-range guidance shows slightly suppressed highs. This reflects northerly flow and reduced insolation under partly cloudy conditions rather than peak summer high-pressure dominance. Ensemble spreads remain tight around the 26–28°C range, with lower probabilities assigned to outliers because recent observations indicate a modest cooling trend from mid-month peaks. Updated short-range runs expected overnight will refine the final value ahead of market resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật


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