Forecast models from sources including the BBC and UK Met Office indicate a daytime high of 32–33°C for Ankara on August 26 under sunny skies and light winds, aligning with the market’s leading 33°C outcome at 53% implied probability. Late-August continental conditions feature strong solar heating over the Anatolian plateau with minimal cloud cover or frontal activity to moderate temperatures, consistent with recent observations of 35°C on August 22 and 30–32°C in the preceding days. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread around these values, though exact station maxima can vary slightly with local terrain and measurement timing. Traders appear to weight the consensus forecast heavily given the short time horizon and stable synoptic pattern.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Ankara on August 26?
33°C 53%
32°C 32%
34°C 11%
31°C 5%
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
5%
32°C
32%
33°C
53%
34°C
11%
35°C
2%
36°C
1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
33°C 53%
32°C 32%
34°C 11%
31°C 5%
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
5%
32°C
32%
33°C
53%
34°C
11%
35°C
2%
36°C
1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources including the BBC and UK Met Office indicate a daytime high of 32–33°C for Ankara on August 26 under sunny skies and light winds, aligning with the market’s leading 33°C outcome at 53% implied probability. Late-August continental conditions feature strong solar heating over the Anatolian plateau with minimal cloud cover or frontal activity to moderate temperatures, consistent with recent observations of 35°C on August 22 and 30–32°C in the preceding days. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread around these values, though exact station maxima can vary slightly with local terrain and measurement timing. Traders appear to weight the consensus forecast heavily given the short time horizon and stable synoptic pattern.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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