Recent ensemble forecasts from major numerical models, including ECMWF and GFS runs valid through mid-June 2026, show Ankara under a stable subtropical ridge with light winds and minimal cloud cover, supporting daily maxima clustering around 28–29°C on June 16. This consensus explains the near-even market weighting between those two outcomes, as historical June averages near 28°C and current observational trends show little deviation. Minor uncertainties remain from possible small shifts in ridge position or boundary-layer mixing that could add or subtract 1°C, while drier conditions reduce the chance of lower readings. Updated model guidance expected within 24 hours will likely tighten the range ahead of market resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Ankara on June 16?
Highest temperature in Ankara on June 16?
29°C 39%
28°C 36%
27°C 15%
26°C 4.2%
MỚI
MỚI
Jun 16, 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
4%
27°C
15%
28°C
36%
29°C
39%
30°C
4%
31°C
3%
32°C
1%
33°C or higher
1%
29°C 39%
28°C 36%
27°C 15%
26°C 4.2%
MỚI
MỚI
Jun 16, 2026
23°C or below
$86 KL.
<1%
24°C
$80 KL.
<1%
25°C
$85 KL.
1%
26°C
$831 KL.
4%
27°C
$38 KL.
15%
28°C
$66 KL.
36%
29°C
$53 KL.
39%
30°C
$50 KL.
4%
31°C
$20 KL.
3%
32°C
$56 KL.
1%
33°C or higher
$0 KL.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from major numerical models, including ECMWF and GFS runs valid through mid-June 2026, show Ankara under a stable subtropical ridge with light winds and minimal cloud cover, supporting daily maxima clustering around 28–29°C on June 16. This consensus explains the near-even market weighting between those two outcomes, as historical June averages near 28°C and current observational trends show little deviation. Minor uncertainties remain from possible small shifts in ridge position or boundary-layer mixing that could add or subtract 1°C, while drier conditions reduce the chance of lower readings. Updated model guidance expected within 24 hours will likely tighten the range ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Jun 14, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Khối lượng
$1,330Ngày kết thúc
Jun 16, 2026Thị trường mở
Jun 14, 2026, 12:04 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from major numerical models, including ECMWF and GFS runs valid through mid-June 2026, show Ankara under a stable subtropical ridge with light winds and minimal cloud cover, supporting daily maxima clustering around 28–29°C on June 16. This consensus explains the near-even market weighting between those two outcomes, as historical June averages near 28°C and current observational trends show little deviation. Minor uncertainties remain from possible small shifts in ridge position or boundary-layer mixing that could add or subtract 1°C, while drier conditions reduce the chance of lower readings. Updated model guidance expected within 24 hours will likely tighten the range ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$1,330Ngày kết thúc
Jun 16, 2026Thị trường mở
Jun 14, 2026, 12:04 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from major numerical models, including ECMWF and GFS runs valid through mid-June 2026, show Ankara under a stable subtropical ridge with light winds and minimal cloud cover, supporting daily maxima clustering around 28–29°C on June 16. This consensus explains the near-even market weighting between those two outcomes, as historical June averages near 28°C and current observational trends show little deviation. Minor uncertainties remain from possible small shifts in ridge position or boundary-layer mixing that could add or subtract 1°C, while drier conditions reduce the chance of lower readings. Updated model guidance expected within 24 hours will likely tighten the range ahead of market resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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