National Weather Service and private model guidance point to mostly sunny skies under a persistent upper-level ridge, with southerly flow and limited cloud cover supporting strong daytime heating for Austin on August 20. This setup aligns with the market’s heavy weighting toward 102–103°F (53%) and 104–105°F (30.5%), reflecting forecast maxima clustered near 102–104°F amid ongoing Central Texas heat. Late-August climatology favors highs in the mid-90s to low 100s, but current subsidence and dry air mass enhance warming potential while heat-index values may exceed 105°F. Minor model spread and any late-day convection introduce limited downside risk to the 100–101°F bin.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Austin on August 20?
Highest temperature in Austin on August 20?
102-103°F 53%
104-105°F 32%
100-101°F 11%
106-107°F 6%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 20, 2026
95°F or below
<1%
96-97°F
2%
98-99°F
3%
100-101°F
11%
102-103°F
53%
104-105°F
32%
106-107°F
6%
108-109°F
2%
110-111°F
<1%
112-113°F
<1%
114°F or higher
<1%
102-103°F 53%
104-105°F 32%
100-101°F 11%
106-107°F 6%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 20, 2026
95°F or below
$34 KL.
<1%
96-97°F
$28 KL.
2%
98-99°F
$30 KL.
3%
100-101°F
$53 KL.
11%
102-103°F
$241 KL.
53%
104-105°F
$110 KL.
32%
106-107°F
$81 KL.
6%
108-109°F
$78 KL.
2%
110-111°F
$128 KL.
<1%
112-113°F
$180 KL.
<1%
114°F or higher
$120 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service and private model guidance point to mostly sunny skies under a persistent upper-level ridge, with southerly flow and limited cloud cover supporting strong daytime heating for Austin on August 20. This setup aligns with the market’s heavy weighting toward 102–103°F (53%) and 104–105°F (30.5%), reflecting forecast maxima clustered near 102–104°F amid ongoing Central Texas heat. Late-August climatology favors highs in the mid-90s to low 100s, but current subsidence and dry air mass enhance warming potential while heat-index values may exceed 105°F. Minor model spread and any late-day convection introduce limited downside risk to the 100–101°F bin.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 18, 2026, 9:56 PM ET
Khối lượng
$1,083Ngày kết thúc
Aug 20, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 18, 2026, 9:56 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service and private model guidance point to mostly sunny skies under a persistent upper-level ridge, with southerly flow and limited cloud cover supporting strong daytime heating for Austin on August 20. This setup aligns with the market’s heavy weighting toward 102–103°F (53%) and 104–105°F (30.5%), reflecting forecast maxima clustered near 102–104°F amid ongoing Central Texas heat. Late-August climatology favors highs in the mid-90s to low 100s, but current subsidence and dry air mass enhance warming potential while heat-index values may exceed 105°F. Minor model spread and any late-day convection introduce limited downside risk to the 100–101°F bin.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$1,083Ngày kết thúc
Aug 20, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 18, 2026, 9:56 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service and private model guidance point to mostly sunny skies under a persistent upper-level ridge, with southerly flow and limited cloud cover supporting strong daytime heating for Austin on August 20. This setup aligns with the market’s heavy weighting toward 102–103°F (53%) and 104–105°F (30.5%), reflecting forecast maxima clustered near 102–104°F amid ongoing Central Texas heat. Late-August climatology favors highs in the mid-90s to low 100s, but current subsidence and dry air mass enhance warming potential while heat-index values may exceed 105°F. Minor model spread and any late-day convection introduce limited downside risk to the 100–101°F bin.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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