Recent forecasts from agencies like Argentina’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and international models show stable winter conditions over Buenos Aires, with daytime highs expected near 15–16 °C on August 15 under easterly flow, thick cloud cover, and light precipitation. These values sit close to the long-term August climatological mean of roughly 15–17 °C, with no strong warm or cold advection indicated in the latest model runs. Market-implied probabilities cluster tightly around this range because traders weigh the narrow uncertainty bands typical of 24–48-hour forecasts, where small shifts in timing or cloud thickness could tip the daily maximum by 1 °C either way. No major anomalies or rapid pattern changes appear in current guidance, keeping extreme outcomes below 1 % implied probability.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Buenos Aires on August 15?
Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on August 15?
16°C 39%
15°C 26%
17°C 22%
14°C 6%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 15, 2026
12°C or below
1%
13°C
3%
14°C
6%
15°C
26%
16°C
39%
17°C
22%
18°C
5%
19°C
2%
20°C
1%
21°C
<1%
22°C or higher
<1%
16°C 39%
15°C 26%
17°C 22%
14°C 6%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 15, 2026
12°C or below
$145 KL.
1%
13°C
$358 KL.
3%
14°C
$103 KL.
6%
15°C
$1,184 KL.
26%
16°C
$3,595 KL.
39%
17°C
$319 KL.
22%
18°C
$31 KL.
5%
19°C
$68 KL.
2%
20°C
$115 KL.
1%
21°C
$16 KL.
<1%
22°C or higher
$80 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from agencies like Argentina’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and international models show stable winter conditions over Buenos Aires, with daytime highs expected near 15–16 °C on August 15 under easterly flow, thick cloud cover, and light precipitation. These values sit close to the long-term August climatological mean of roughly 15–17 °C, with no strong warm or cold advection indicated in the latest model runs. Market-implied probabilities cluster tightly around this range because traders weigh the narrow uncertainty bands typical of 24–48-hour forecasts, where small shifts in timing or cloud thickness could tip the daily maximum by 1 °C either way. No major anomalies or rapid pattern changes appear in current guidance, keeping extreme outcomes below 1 % implied probability.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 13, 2026, 8:55 PM ET
Khối lượng
$6,014Ngày kết thúc
Aug 15, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 13, 2026, 8:55 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from agencies like Argentina’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and international models show stable winter conditions over Buenos Aires, with daytime highs expected near 15–16 °C on August 15 under easterly flow, thick cloud cover, and light precipitation. These values sit close to the long-term August climatological mean of roughly 15–17 °C, with no strong warm or cold advection indicated in the latest model runs. Market-implied probabilities cluster tightly around this range because traders weigh the narrow uncertainty bands typical of 24–48-hour forecasts, where small shifts in timing or cloud thickness could tip the daily maximum by 1 °C either way. No major anomalies or rapid pattern changes appear in current guidance, keeping extreme outcomes below 1 % implied probability.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$6,014Ngày kết thúc
Aug 15, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 13, 2026, 8:55 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from agencies like Argentina’s Servicio Meteorológico Nacional and international models show stable winter conditions over Buenos Aires, with daytime highs expected near 15–16 °C on August 15 under easterly flow, thick cloud cover, and light precipitation. These values sit close to the long-term August climatological mean of roughly 15–17 °C, with no strong warm or cold advection indicated in the latest model runs. Market-implied probabilities cluster tightly around this range because traders weigh the narrow uncertainty bands typical of 24–48-hour forecasts, where small shifts in timing or cloud thickness could tip the daily maximum by 1 °C either way. No major anomalies or rapid pattern changes appear in current guidance, keeping extreme outcomes below 1 % implied probability.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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