Current forecasts from meteorological models indicate mild autumn conditions over Cape Town, with daytime highs expected to reach 20–22°C under partly cloudy skies and light southeasterly winds. These values align with historical May averages of 19–21°C, though recent model runs show slight warming from a transient ridge of high pressure suppressing stronger Atlantic cooling. The market’s emphasis on 21°C and 22°C reflects consensus among ensemble predictions with low precipitation risk and stable sea-surface temperatures around 15–16°C moderating overnight lows near 13–15°C. No significant frontal systems or heat anomalies have emerged in the past 48 hours to shift probabilities, leaving traders focused on minor diurnal variations and the final 24-hour model updates before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Cape Town on May 18?
21°C 42%
22°C 28%
20°C 14.8%
23°C 11%
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
2%
20°C
15%
21°C
42%
22°C
28%
23°C
11%
24°C
1%
25°C or higher
<1%
21°C 42%
22°C 28%
20°C 14.8%
23°C 11%
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
2%
20°C
15%
21°C
42%
22°C
28%
23°C
11%
24°C
1%
25°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: May 16, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Current forecasts from meteorological models indicate mild autumn conditions over Cape Town, with daytime highs expected to reach 20–22°C under partly cloudy skies and light southeasterly winds. These values align with historical May averages of 19–21°C, though recent model runs show slight warming from a transient ridge of high pressure suppressing stronger Atlantic cooling. The market’s emphasis on 21°C and 22°C reflects consensus among ensemble predictions with low precipitation risk and stable sea-surface temperatures around 15–16°C moderating overnight lows near 13–15°C. No significant frontal systems or heat anomalies have emerged in the past 48 hours to shift probabilities, leaving traders focused on minor diurnal variations and the final 24-hour model updates before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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