Official observations from the Hong Kong Observatory recorded a maximum air temperature of 25°C on May 16 at the primary urban monitoring station, aligning with the market's near-certain outcome. This reading reflects typical late-spring conditions under the influence of a subtropical high-pressure ridge that suppressed cloud cover and allowed daytime heating without significant advection of cooler maritime air. Historical May averages for the region hover near 27–29°C, so the modest peak suggests slightly stronger than usual easterly flow and localized sea-breeze moderation. Traders assigned negligible probability to other thresholds because preliminary data releases and real-time station reports converged rapidly on 25°C, leaving little room for post-observation revisions or alternative measurement interpretations before market resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Hong Kong on May 16?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on May 16?
25°C 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$302,840 KL.
$302,840 KL.
May 16, 2026
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
100%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
25°C 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$302,840 KL.
$302,840 KL.
May 16, 2026
19°C or below
$20,087 KL.
<1%
20°C
$12,423 KL.
<1%
21°C
$12,259 KL.
<1%
22°C
$6,633 KL.
<1%
23°C
$4,753 KL.
<1%
24°C
$37,336 KL.
<1%
25°C
$77,401 KL.
100%
26°C
$43,033 KL.
<1%
27°C
$39,653 KL.
<1%
28°C
$25,261 KL.
<1%
29°C or higher
$25,047 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from the Hong Kong Observatory recorded a maximum air temperature of 25°C on May 16 at the primary urban monitoring station, aligning with the market's near-certain outcome. This reading reflects typical late-spring conditions under the influence of a subtropical high-pressure ridge that suppressed cloud cover and allowed daytime heating without significant advection of cooler maritime air. Historical May averages for the region hover near 27–29°C, so the modest peak suggests slightly stronger than usual easterly flow and localized sea-breeze moderation. Traders assigned negligible probability to other thresholds because preliminary data releases and real-time station reports converged rapidly on 25°C, leaving little room for post-observation revisions or alternative measurement interpretations before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: May 14, 2026, 12:14 AM ET
Khối lượng
$302,840Ngày kết thúc
May 16, 2026Thị trường mở
May 14, 2026, 12:14 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from the Hong Kong Observatory recorded a maximum air temperature of 25°C on May 16 at the primary urban monitoring station, aligning with the market's near-certain outcome. This reading reflects typical late-spring conditions under the influence of a subtropical high-pressure ridge that suppressed cloud cover and allowed daytime heating without significant advection of cooler maritime air. Historical May averages for the region hover near 27–29°C, so the modest peak suggests slightly stronger than usual easterly flow and localized sea-breeze moderation. Traders assigned negligible probability to other thresholds because preliminary data releases and real-time station reports converged rapidly on 25°C, leaving little room for post-observation revisions or alternative measurement interpretations before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Khối lượng
$302,840Ngày kết thúc
May 16, 2026Thị trường mở
May 14, 2026, 12:14 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official observations from the Hong Kong Observatory recorded a maximum air temperature of 25°C on May 16 at the primary urban monitoring station, aligning with the market's near-certain outcome. This reading reflects typical late-spring conditions under the influence of a subtropical high-pressure ridge that suppressed cloud cover and allowed daytime heating without significant advection of cooler maritime air. Historical May averages for the region hover near 27–29°C, so the modest peak suggests slightly stronger than usual easterly flow and localized sea-breeze moderation. Traders assigned negligible probability to other thresholds because preliminary data releases and real-time station reports converged rapidly on 25°C, leaving little room for post-observation revisions or alternative measurement interpretations before market resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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