The close clustering of market-implied odds around 35–37 °C for Karachi’s June 13 maximum reflects short-range forecast uncertainty in sea-breeze strength and low-level moisture advection from the Arabian Sea. Coastal moderation typically caps daytime peaks near the seasonal June average of 34–36 °C, yet shifts in wind direction, boundary-layer mixing, or thin cloud cover can add or subtract 1–2 °C. Current model consensus shows modest agreement on weak onshore flow and dew-point values in the mid-20s °C, producing only marginal differences in predicted surface heating; any late adjustment in these variables by the next model cycle could readily favor either 35 °C or 36 °C as the most probable outcome.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Karachi on June 13?
36°C 37%
35°C 29%
34°C 20%
37°C 9%
31°C or below
<1%
32°C
1%
33°C
2%
34°C
20%
35°C
29%
36°C
37%
37°C
9%
38°C
3%
39°C
1%
40°C
<1%
41°C or higher
<1%
36°C 37%
35°C 29%
34°C 20%
37°C 9%
31°C or below
<1%
32°C
1%
33°C
2%
34°C
20%
35°C
29%
36°C
37%
37°C
9%
38°C
3%
39°C
1%
40°C
<1%
41°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Jun 11, 2026, 12:11 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...The close clustering of market-implied odds around 35–37 °C for Karachi’s June 13 maximum reflects short-range forecast uncertainty in sea-breeze strength and low-level moisture advection from the Arabian Sea. Coastal moderation typically caps daytime peaks near the seasonal June average of 34–36 °C, yet shifts in wind direction, boundary-layer mixing, or thin cloud cover can add or subtract 1–2 °C. Current model consensus shows modest agreement on weak onshore flow and dew-point values in the mid-20s °C, producing only marginal differences in predicted surface heating; any late adjustment in these variables by the next model cycle could readily favor either 35 °C or 36 °C as the most probable outcome.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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