Traders assign near-certainty to a 40°C high in Lucknow on June 10 because India Meteorological Department forecasts and multiple model runs project a maximum near that threshold under prevailing pre-monsoon conditions. Early June climatology for the region shows average daily highs of 39–40°C, with limited intensification expected today due to moderate westerly winds and increasing humidity ahead of seasonal rains. Official observations from prior days recorded 40–42°C without extreme heat-wave criteria being met. The market-implied outcome aligns with this consensus; only a sharp, unexpected spike from delayed cloud cover or localized warming could push readings to 41°C or higher before sunset.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Lucknow on June 10?
40°C 100.0%
39°C or below <1%
41°C <1%
42°C <1%
$48,144 KL.
$48,144 KL.
39°C or below
No
40°C
Yes
41°C
No
42°C
No
43°C
No
44°C
No
45°C
No
46°C
No
47°C
No
48°C
No
49°C or higher
No
40°C 100.0%
39°C or below <1%
41°C <1%
42°C <1%
$48,144 KL.
$48,144 KL.
39°C or below
No
40°C
Yes
41°C
No
42°C
No
43°C
No
44°C
No
45°C
No
46°C
No
47°C
No
48°C
No
49°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Jun 8, 2026, 1:04 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
Traders assign near-certainty to a 40°C high in Lucknow on June 10 because India Meteorological Department forecasts and multiple model runs project a maximum near that threshold under prevailing pre-monsoon conditions. Early June climatology for the region shows average daily highs of 39–40°C, with limited intensification expected today due to moderate westerly winds and increasing humidity ahead of seasonal rains. Official observations from prior days recorded 40–42°C without extreme heat-wave criteria being met. The market-implied outcome aligns with this consensus; only a sharp, unexpected spike from delayed cloud cover or localized warming could push readings to 41°C or higher before sunset.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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