Recent PAGASA forecasts for Metro Manila on June 13 project a daytime high near 32°C amid 40-60% rain chances tied to the southwest monsoon, with traders assigning the highest implied probability to 33°C as models balance typical early-wet-season humidity against variable convective cloud cover. Differentiation among the clustered 32-34°C outcomes hinges on short-term steering patterns and afternoon thunderstorm timing, which can suppress peak readings by 1-2°C through reduced insolation or allow brief clearing for higher values; climatological baselines show June maxima averaging 32°C, with occasional spikes above 34°C under drier intrusions. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Manila on June 13?
33°C 36%
34°C 29%
32°C 27%
35°C 11%
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
5%
32°C
27%
33°C
36%
34°C
29%
35°C
11%
36°C
1%
37°C or higher
1%
33°C 36%
34°C 29%
32°C 27%
35°C 11%
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
5%
32°C
27%
33°C
36%
34°C
29%
35°C
11%
36°C
1%
37°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Jun 11, 2026, 12:09 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent PAGASA forecasts for Metro Manila on June 13 project a daytime high near 32°C amid 40-60% rain chances tied to the southwest monsoon, with traders assigning the highest implied probability to 33°C as models balance typical early-wet-season humidity against variable convective cloud cover. Differentiation among the clustered 32-34°C outcomes hinges on short-term steering patterns and afternoon thunderstorm timing, which can suppress peak readings by 1-2°C through reduced insolation or allow brief clearing for higher values; climatological baselines show June maxima averaging 32°C, with occasional spikes above 34°C under drier intrusions. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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