Current short-range ensemble forecasts from global and regional models show a tight spread centered on 23–26°C for Mexico City’s June 16 maximum, reflecting typical early-rainy-season conditions at 2,240 m elevation where afternoon convection often caps daytime heating. Variable cloud cover, moisture advection from the Pacific, and the precise timing of showers—driven by diurnal heating and orographic lift—create the primary uncertainty that keeps 25°C and 26°C as the leading market outcomes. Official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional observations and updated model runs overnight will further refine the expected peak before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Mexico City on June 16?
Highest temperature in Mexico City on June 16?
26°C 30%
25°C 25%
24°C 11%
23°C 8%
MỚI
MỚI
Jun 16, 2026
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
3%
23°C
8%
24°C
11%
25°C
25%
26°C
30%
27°C
6%
28°C
4%
29°C or higher
3%
26°C 30%
25°C 25%
24°C 11%
23°C 8%
MỚI
MỚI
Jun 16, 2026
19°C or below
$5 KL.
<1%
20°C
$35 KL.
1%
21°C
$30 KL.
1%
22°C
$20 KL.
3%
23°C
$0 KL.
8%
24°C
$20 KL.
11%
25°C
$0 KL.
25%
26°C
$0 KL.
30%
27°C
$0 KL.
6%
28°C
$0 KL.
4%
29°C or higher
$0 KL.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-range ensemble forecasts from global and regional models show a tight spread centered on 23–26°C for Mexico City’s June 16 maximum, reflecting typical early-rainy-season conditions at 2,240 m elevation where afternoon convection often caps daytime heating. Variable cloud cover, moisture advection from the Pacific, and the precise timing of showers—driven by diurnal heating and orographic lift—create the primary uncertainty that keeps 25°C and 26°C as the leading market outcomes. Official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional observations and updated model runs overnight will further refine the expected peak before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Jun 14, 2026, 9:04 PM ET
Khối lượng
$46Ngày kết thúc
Jun 16, 2026Thị trường mở
Jun 14, 2026, 9:04 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-range ensemble forecasts from global and regional models show a tight spread centered on 23–26°C for Mexico City’s June 16 maximum, reflecting typical early-rainy-season conditions at 2,240 m elevation where afternoon convection often caps daytime heating. Variable cloud cover, moisture advection from the Pacific, and the precise timing of showers—driven by diurnal heating and orographic lift—create the primary uncertainty that keeps 25°C and 26°C as the leading market outcomes. Official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional observations and updated model runs overnight will further refine the expected peak before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$46Ngày kết thúc
Jun 16, 2026Thị trường mở
Jun 14, 2026, 9:04 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current short-range ensemble forecasts from global and regional models show a tight spread centered on 23–26°C for Mexico City’s June 16 maximum, reflecting typical early-rainy-season conditions at 2,240 m elevation where afternoon convection often caps daytime heating. Variable cloud cover, moisture advection from the Pacific, and the precise timing of showers—driven by diurnal heating and orographic lift—create the primary uncertainty that keeps 25°C and 26°C as the leading market outcomes. Official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional observations and updated model runs overnight will further refine the expected peak before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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