Recent Saharan air advection under a building subtropical ridge has driven European heatwave conditions, with ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and GFS converging on a Milan peak of 33–34 °C for 18 June. This places the market-implied odds—42 % at 34 °C and 34 % at 33 °C—squarely on the most probable range given current model consensus and minimal spread in 850 hPa temperatures. Subtle differences between outcomes hinge on afternoon boundary-layer mixing, local Po Valley moisture, and exact wind direction that could shave or add 1 °C. The next high-resolution model cycles and any National Meteorological Service updates before 18 June will likely tighten probabilities further as the event horizon shrinks.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Milan on June 18?
Highest temperature in Milan on June 18?
34°C 42%
33°C 34%
35°C 12%
32°C 11%
MỚI
$10,083 KL.
MỚI
$10,083 KL.
Jun 18, 2026
30°C or below
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
11%
33°C
34%
34°C
42%
35°C
12%
36°C
1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C or higher
<1%
34°C 42%
33°C 34%
35°C 12%
32°C 11%
MỚI
$10,083 KL.
MỚI
$10,083 KL.
Jun 18, 2026
30°C or below
$452 KL.
<1%
31°C
$2,592 KL.
<1%
32°C
$564 KL.
11%
33°C
$879 KL.
34%
34°C
$603 KL.
42%
35°C
$447 KL.
12%
36°C
$493 KL.
1%
37°C
$3,062 KL.
<1%
38°C
$373 KL.
<1%
39°C
$365 KL.
<1%
40°C or higher
$253 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Saharan air advection under a building subtropical ridge has driven European heatwave conditions, with ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and GFS converging on a Milan peak of 33–34 °C for 18 June. This places the market-implied odds—42 % at 34 °C and 34 % at 33 °C—squarely on the most probable range given current model consensus and minimal spread in 850 hPa temperatures. Subtle differences between outcomes hinge on afternoon boundary-layer mixing, local Po Valley moisture, and exact wind direction that could shave or add 1 °C. The next high-resolution model cycles and any National Meteorological Service updates before 18 June will likely tighten probabilities further as the event horizon shrinks.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Jun 16, 2026, 1:08 AM ET
Khối lượng
$10,083Ngày kết thúc
Jun 18, 2026Thị trường mở
Jun 16, 2026, 1:08 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Saharan air advection under a building subtropical ridge has driven European heatwave conditions, with ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and GFS converging on a Milan peak of 33–34 °C for 18 June. This places the market-implied odds—42 % at 34 °C and 34 % at 33 °C—squarely on the most probable range given current model consensus and minimal spread in 850 hPa temperatures. Subtle differences between outcomes hinge on afternoon boundary-layer mixing, local Po Valley moisture, and exact wind direction that could shave or add 1 °C. The next high-resolution model cycles and any National Meteorological Service updates before 18 June will likely tighten probabilities further as the event horizon shrinks.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$10,083Ngày kết thúc
Jun 18, 2026Thị trường mở
Jun 16, 2026, 1:08 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Saharan air advection under a building subtropical ridge has driven European heatwave conditions, with ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and GFS converging on a Milan peak of 33–34 °C for 18 June. This places the market-implied odds—42 % at 34 °C and 34 % at 33 °C—squarely on the most probable range given current model consensus and minimal spread in 850 hPa temperatures. Subtle differences between outcomes hinge on afternoon boundary-layer mixing, local Po Valley moisture, and exact wind direction that could shave or add 1 °C. The next high-resolution model cycles and any National Meteorological Service updates before 18 June will likely tighten probabilities further as the event horizon shrinks.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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