Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies point to a maximum temperature near 39°C in Lucknow on June 18, driven by increasing cloud cover and moisture ahead of the southwest monsoon advance, which limits daytime heating compared to earlier June peaks. Model consensus highlights patchy rain potential and moderate winds that could cap extremes, aligning with the market's emphasis on 38–40°C outcomes over higher readings typical of clear-sky heatwaves. Historical June averages around 37–39°C provide context, while any late intensification of dry conditions or delayed precipitation could shift probabilities toward 41°C or above before resolution. Traders are monitoring updated IMD guidance and satellite observations for final adjustments.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Lucknow on June 18?
39°C 39%
38°C 27%
40°C 16%
37°C 9%
$10,067 KL.
$10,067 KL.
32°C or below
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
1%
36°C
2%
37°C
9%
38°C
27%
39°C
39%
40°C
16%
41°C
7%
42°C or higher
2%
39°C 39%
38°C 27%
40°C 16%
37°C 9%
$10,067 KL.
$10,067 KL.
32°C or below
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
1%
36°C
2%
37°C
9%
38°C
27%
39°C
39%
40°C
16%
41°C
7%
42°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Jun 16, 2026, 1:04 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies point to a maximum temperature near 39°C in Lucknow on June 18, driven by increasing cloud cover and moisture ahead of the southwest monsoon advance, which limits daytime heating compared to earlier June peaks. Model consensus highlights patchy rain potential and moderate winds that could cap extremes, aligning with the market's emphasis on 38–40°C outcomes over higher readings typical of clear-sky heatwaves. Historical June averages around 37–39°C provide context, while any late intensification of dry conditions or delayed precipitation could shift probabilities toward 41°C or above before resolution. Traders are monitoring updated IMD guidance and satellite observations for final adjustments.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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