Recent ECMWF and GFS ensemble runs place Warsaw's June 18 maximum near 23–25°C under a moderate westerly flow with limited warm-air advection and possible late-day showers that cap afternoon peaks. This distribution aligns with climatological June averages of 22–24°C while reflecting modest model spread in boundary-layer moisture and cloud timing that separates the 24°C and 25°C outcomes. Traders weight the latest 00Z/12Z cycles most heavily because small shifts in 2-meter temperature guidance or frontal passage can reprice the tightly bunched 39.5 %–31.5 % tier within hours of resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Warsaw on June 18?
Highest temperature in Warsaw on June 18?
24°C 40%
25°C 32%
23°C 22%
26°C 6%
MỚI
MỚI
Jun 18, 2026
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
2%
23°C
22%
24°C
40%
25°C
32%
26°C
6%
27°C
3%
28°C
1%
29°C or higher
<1%
24°C 40%
25°C 32%
23°C 22%
26°C 6%
MỚI
MỚI
Jun 18, 2026
19°C or below
$218 KL.
<1%
20°C
$168 KL.
<1%
21°C
$216 KL.
1%
22°C
$151 KL.
2%
23°C
$275 KL.
22%
24°C
$191 KL.
40%
25°C
$281 KL.
32%
26°C
$160 KL.
6%
27°C
$272 KL.
3%
28°C
$578 KL.
1%
29°C or higher
$718 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ECMWF and GFS ensemble runs place Warsaw's June 18 maximum near 23–25°C under a moderate westerly flow with limited warm-air advection and possible late-day showers that cap afternoon peaks. This distribution aligns with climatological June averages of 22–24°C while reflecting modest model spread in boundary-layer moisture and cloud timing that separates the 24°C and 25°C outcomes. Traders weight the latest 00Z/12Z cycles most heavily because small shifts in 2-meter temperature guidance or frontal passage can reprice the tightly bunched 39.5 %–31.5 % tier within hours of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Jun 16, 2026, 1:12 AM ET
Khối lượng
$3,227Ngày kết thúc
Jun 18, 2026Thị trường mở
Jun 16, 2026, 1:12 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ECMWF and GFS ensemble runs place Warsaw's June 18 maximum near 23–25°C under a moderate westerly flow with limited warm-air advection and possible late-day showers that cap afternoon peaks. This distribution aligns with climatological June averages of 22–24°C while reflecting modest model spread in boundary-layer moisture and cloud timing that separates the 24°C and 25°C outcomes. Traders weight the latest 00Z/12Z cycles most heavily because small shifts in 2-meter temperature guidance or frontal passage can reprice the tightly bunched 39.5 %–31.5 % tier within hours of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$3,227Ngày kết thúc
Jun 18, 2026Thị trường mở
Jun 16, 2026, 1:12 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ECMWF and GFS ensemble runs place Warsaw's June 18 maximum near 23–25°C under a moderate westerly flow with limited warm-air advection and possible late-day showers that cap afternoon peaks. This distribution aligns with climatological June averages of 22–24°C while reflecting modest model spread in boundary-layer moisture and cloud timing that separates the 24°C and 25°C outcomes. Traders weight the latest 00Z/12Z cycles most heavily because small shifts in 2-meter temperature guidance or frontal passage can reprice the tightly bunched 39.5 %–31.5 % tier within hours of resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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