**Forecast models from Météo-France and other agencies show a building high-pressure ridge driving clear skies and southerly flow into northern France, pushing daytime temperatures in Paris sharply higher by mid-week.** As of the latest guidance on June 16, 2026, highs on June 18 are projected near 35–36°C under abundant sunshine and light winds of 5–33 km/h that limit cooling. Overnight lows near 20°C further support strong daytime heating. This setup matches the market’s tight clustering around 35°C and 36°C, which together command nearly 70% of trader probability. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread, with only modest upside risk to 37°C if insolation proves stronger than expected or slight downside to 34°C if a thin veil of high cloud develops. Resolution hinges on the official daily maximum recorded at Paris stations, making the next 24–48 hours of model runs and any last-minute adjustments the key variables still in play.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Paris on June 18?
Highest temperature in Paris on June 18?
36°C 38%
35°C 33%
34°C 14%
37°C 10%
MỚI
MỚI
Jun 18, 2026
32°C or below
1%
33°C
4%
34°C
14%
35°C
33%
36°C
38%
37°C
10%
38°C
1%
39°C
1%
40°C
<1%
41°C
<1%
42°C or higher
<1%
36°C 38%
35°C 33%
34°C 14%
37°C 10%
MỚI
MỚI
Jun 18, 2026
32°C or below
$959 KL.
1%
33°C
$379 KL.
4%
34°C
$386 KL.
14%
35°C
$738 KL.
33%
36°C
$576 KL.
38%
37°C
$1,182 KL.
10%
38°C
$1,327 KL.
1%
39°C
$353 KL.
1%
40°C
$593 KL.
<1%
41°C
$326 KL.
<1%
42°C or higher
$555 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from Météo-France and other agencies show a building high-pressure ridge driving clear skies and southerly flow into northern France, pushing daytime temperatures in Paris sharply higher by mid-week.** As of the latest guidance on June 16, 2026, highs on June 18 are projected near 35–36°C under abundant sunshine and light winds of 5–33 km/h that limit cooling. Overnight lows near 20°C further support strong daytime heating.
This setup matches the market’s tight clustering around 35°C and 36°C, which together command nearly 70% of trader probability. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread, with only modest upside risk to 37°C if insolation proves stronger than expected or slight downside to 34°C if a thin veil of high cloud develops. Resolution hinges on the official daily maximum recorded at Paris stations, making the next 24–48 hours of model runs and any last-minute adjustments the key variables still in play.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Jun 16, 2026, 1:18 AM ET
Khối lượng
$7,376Ngày kết thúc
Jun 18, 2026Thị trường mở
Jun 16, 2026, 1:18 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from Météo-France and other agencies show a building high-pressure ridge driving clear skies and southerly flow into northern France, pushing daytime temperatures in Paris sharply higher by mid-week.** As of the latest guidance on June 16, 2026, highs on June 18 are projected near 35–36°C under abundant sunshine and light winds of 5–33 km/h that limit cooling. Overnight lows near 20°C further support strong daytime heating.
This setup matches the market’s tight clustering around 35°C and 36°C, which together command nearly 70% of trader probability. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread, with only modest upside risk to 37°C if insolation proves stronger than expected or slight downside to 34°C if a thin veil of high cloud develops. Resolution hinges on the official daily maximum recorded at Paris stations, making the next 24–48 hours of model runs and any last-minute adjustments the key variables still in play.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$7,376Ngày kết thúc
Jun 18, 2026Thị trường mở
Jun 16, 2026, 1:18 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models from Météo-France and other agencies show a building high-pressure ridge driving clear skies and southerly flow into northern France, pushing daytime temperatures in Paris sharply higher by mid-week.** As of the latest guidance on June 16, 2026, highs on June 18 are projected near 35–36°C under abundant sunshine and light winds of 5–33 km/h that limit cooling. Overnight lows near 20°C further support strong daytime heating. This setup matches the market’s tight clustering around 35°C and 36°C, which together command nearly 70% of trader probability. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread, with only modest upside risk to 37°C if insolation proves stronger than expected or slight downside to 34°C if a thin veil of high cloud develops. Resolution hinges on the official daily maximum recorded at Paris stations, making the next 24–48 hours of model runs and any last-minute adjustments the key variables still in play.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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