Recent model consensus from sources like the ECMWF and GFS points to predominantly clear skies and light easterly winds over southern Germany, favoring strong daytime radiative heating and pushing Munich's June 18 maximum into the 29–31°C range. Subsidence under high pressure limits cloud formation and moisture, while modest warm-air advection from the east enhances surface temperatures without triggering convection. Minor spread in outcomes arises from small differences in boundary-layer mixing depth and exact wind shift timing, which could cap the peak near 30°C or allow brief warming to 31–32°C. Updated runs expected within 24 hours will refine these details ahead of market resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Munich on June 18?
31°C 34%
30°C 28%
32°C 16%
29°C 8.0%
$12,152 KL.
$12,152 KL.
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
4%
29°C
8%
30°C
28%
31°C
34%
32°C
16%
33°C
4%
34°C or higher
1%
31°C 34%
30°C 28%
32°C 16%
29°C 8.0%
$12,152 KL.
$12,152 KL.
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
4%
29°C
8%
30°C
28%
31°C
34%
32°C
16%
33°C
4%
34°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Jun 16, 2026, 1:07 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from sources like the ECMWF and GFS points to predominantly clear skies and light easterly winds over southern Germany, favoring strong daytime radiative heating and pushing Munich's June 18 maximum into the 29–31°C range. Subsidence under high pressure limits cloud formation and moisture, while modest warm-air advection from the east enhances surface temperatures without triggering convection. Minor spread in outcomes arises from small differences in boundary-layer mixing depth and exact wind shift timing, which could cap the peak near 30°C or allow brief warming to 31–32°C. Updated runs expected within 24 hours will refine these details ahead of market resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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