Recent ensemble forecasts and high-resolution models from agencies like KNMI and ECMWF indicate a likely daily maximum in Amsterdam on June 18 between 26–28°C under partly cloudy skies and light southerly flow, with limited daytime heating due to moderate humidity and a weak pressure gradient. Minor disagreements among model runs—particularly on boundary-layer mixing and cloud cover—create the tight clustering around 27°C and 28°C in trader pricing, while historical June climatology (average highs near 20–22°C) underscores the above-normal warmth. Updated guidance expected overnight and early on the 18th will refine whether peak readings reach the upper end of this narrow band or remain capped below it.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Amsterdam on June 18?
27°C 38%
28°C 35%
26°C 14%
29°C 12%
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
14%
27°C
38%
28°C
35%
29°C
12%
30°C
1%
31°C or higher
<1%
27°C 38%
28°C 35%
26°C 14%
29°C 12%
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
14%
27°C
38%
28°C
35%
29°C
12%
30°C
1%
31°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Jun 16, 2026, 1:11 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts and high-resolution models from agencies like KNMI and ECMWF indicate a likely daily maximum in Amsterdam on June 18 between 26–28°C under partly cloudy skies and light southerly flow, with limited daytime heating due to moderate humidity and a weak pressure gradient. Minor disagreements among model runs—particularly on boundary-layer mixing and cloud cover—create the tight clustering around 27°C and 28°C in trader pricing, while historical June climatology (average highs near 20–22°C) underscores the above-normal warmth. Updated guidance expected overnight and early on the 18th will refine whether peak readings reach the upper end of this narrow band or remain capped below it.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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