Recent forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service indicate a seasonal high near 28°C for Tel Aviv on June 18 under clear skies and moderate westerly flow, with AccuWeather ensembles showing a narrow 28–30°C range. The closely matched 29°C (48.5%) and 30°C (45%) market shares reflect genuine uncertainty in peak timing: a stronger Mediterranean sea breeze could suppress the maximum by enhancing mixing and onshore cooling, while a weaker gradient or slight upper-level ridge support might allow readings to reach 30°C. Historical mid-June climatology centers on 29°C highs, and traders are weighting the latest official guidance against model spread ahead of any final IMS update before the date.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on June 18?
29°C 49%
30°C 45%
31°C 6%
28°C 4.0%
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
2%
28°C
4%
29°C
49%
30°C
45%
31°C
6%
32°C
2%
33°C
1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
29°C 49%
30°C 45%
31°C 6%
28°C 4.0%
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
2%
28°C
4%
29°C
49%
30°C
45%
31°C
6%
32°C
2%
33°C
1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Jun 16, 2026, 1:05 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service indicate a seasonal high near 28°C for Tel Aviv on June 18 under clear skies and moderate westerly flow, with AccuWeather ensembles showing a narrow 28–30°C range. The closely matched 29°C (48.5%) and 30°C (45%) market shares reflect genuine uncertainty in peak timing: a stronger Mediterranean sea breeze could suppress the maximum by enhancing mixing and onshore cooling, while a weaker gradient or slight upper-level ridge support might allow readings to reach 30°C. Historical mid-June climatology centers on 29°C highs, and traders are weighting the latest official guidance against model spread ahead of any final IMS update before the date.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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