Official forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center and supporting numerical weather models indicate a daytime maximum of 24–26°C in Moscow on May 17, driven by moderate southerly flow and increasing cloud cover that limits solar heating. This consensus aligns with the market-implied odds showing overwhelming trader support for a 26°C high, reflecting real-time integration of surface observations, satellite data, and ensemble runs that place the peak squarely in this narrow range. Historical May climatology for the region shows average highs near 18°C, making the current setup notably warmer yet stable. A sudden clearing of clouds or stronger advection could push readings higher, while heavier rainfall or a shift in wind direction might cap the maximum below 26°C.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Moscow on May 17?
26°C 100.0%
27°C <1%
28°C or higher <1%
$45,133 KL.
$45,133 KL.
26°C
100%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
26°C 100.0%
27°C <1%
28°C or higher <1%
$45,133 KL.
$45,133 KL.
26°C
100%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Official forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center and supporting numerical weather models indicate a daytime maximum of 24–26°C in Moscow on May 17, driven by moderate southerly flow and increasing cloud cover that limits solar heating. This consensus aligns with the market-implied odds showing overwhelming trader support for a 26°C high, reflecting real-time integration of surface observations, satellite data, and ensemble runs that place the peak squarely in this narrow range. Historical May climatology for the region shows average highs near 18°C, making the current setup notably warmer yet stable. A sudden clearing of clouds or stronger advection could push readings higher, while heavier rainfall or a shift in wind direction might cap the maximum below 26°C.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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