Recent meteorological forecasts from agencies including Russia's Hydrometeorological Center indicate a high near 27–29 °C for Moscow on May 18, driven by a transient ridge of high pressure that favors clear skies and daytime heating while limiting cloud cover and precipitation. Ensemble models show modest spread due to variable southeasterly flow and potential for localized afternoon convection, keeping the probability of exceeding 30 °C or falling below 26 °C relatively low. This positioning aligns with climatological mid-May averages of 18–22 °C but reflects current above-normal warmth from recent continental air advection. Updated model runs and official guidance issued in the next 24–48 hours will refine the exact maximum and determine resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Moscow on May 18?
Highest temperature in Moscow on May 18?
29°C 25%
27°C 19%
28°C 19%
30°C 15%
MỚI
MỚI
May 18, 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
2%
25°C
2%
26°C
7%
27°C
19%
28°C
19%
29°C
23%
30°C
15%
31°C or higher
15%
29°C 25%
27°C 19%
28°C 19%
30°C 15%
MỚI
MỚI
May 18, 2026
21°C or below
$574 KL.
<1%
22°C
$446 KL.
<1%
23°C
$732 KL.
<1%
24°C
$615 KL.
2%
25°C
$366 KL.
2%
26°C
$182 KL.
7%
27°C
$166 KL.
19%
28°C
$161 KL.
19%
29°C
$136 KL.
23%
30°C
$81 KL.
15%
31°C or higher
$157 KL.
15%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent meteorological forecasts from agencies including Russia's Hydrometeorological Center indicate a high near 27–29 °C for Moscow on May 18, driven by a transient ridge of high pressure that favors clear skies and daytime heating while limiting cloud cover and precipitation. Ensemble models show modest spread due to variable southeasterly flow and potential for localized afternoon convection, keeping the probability of exceeding 30 °C or falling below 26 °C relatively low. This positioning aligns with climatological mid-May averages of 18–22 °C but reflects current above-normal warmth from recent continental air advection. Updated model runs and official guidance issued in the next 24–48 hours will refine the exact maximum and determine resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Khối lượng
$3,617Ngày kết thúc
May 18, 2026Thị trường mở
May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent meteorological forecasts from agencies including Russia's Hydrometeorological Center indicate a high near 27–29 °C for Moscow on May 18, driven by a transient ridge of high pressure that favors clear skies and daytime heating while limiting cloud cover and precipitation. Ensemble models show modest spread due to variable southeasterly flow and potential for localized afternoon convection, keeping the probability of exceeding 30 °C or falling below 26 °C relatively low. This positioning aligns with climatological mid-May averages of 18–22 °C but reflects current above-normal warmth from recent continental air advection. Updated model runs and official guidance issued in the next 24–48 hours will refine the exact maximum and determine resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Khối lượng
$3,617Ngày kết thúc
May 18, 2026Thị trường mở
May 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ETRecent meteorological forecasts from agencies including Russia's Hydrometeorological Center indicate a high near 27–29 °C for Moscow on May 18, driven by a transient ridge of high pressure that favors clear skies and daytime heating while limiting cloud cover and precipitation. Ensemble models show modest spread due to variable southeasterly flow and potential for localized afternoon convection, keeping the probability of exceeding 30 °C or falling below 26 °C relatively low. This positioning aligns with climatological mid-May averages of 18–22 °C but reflects current above-normal warmth from recent continental air advection. Updated model runs and official guidance issued in the next 24–48 hours will refine the exact maximum and determine resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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