National Weather Service forecasts and real-time observations indicate San Francisco’s daytime maximum on May 17 will reach or exceed the 68°F climatological normal at San Francisco International Airport, driving the near-certain market consensus on the 68°F-or-higher outcome. A warming synoptic pattern with reduced marine-layer influence and light onshore flow supports this elevated reading, consistent with typical May conditions under neutral ENSO influence. The strong implied probability reflects traders’ confidence in official model consensus, yet a sudden strengthening of the marine layer or unexpected wind shift could still cap the high slightly below threshold before evening cooling sets in.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in San Francisco on May 17?
Highest temperature in San Francisco on May 17?
68°F or higher 100.0%
64-65°F <1%
66-67°F <1%
$26,115 KL.
$26,115 KL.
May 17, 2026
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68°F or higher
100%
68°F or higher 100.0%
64-65°F <1%
66-67°F <1%
$26,115 KL.
$26,115 KL.
May 17, 2026
64-65°F
$5,225 KL.
<1%
66-67°F
$4,464 KL.
<1%
68°F or higher
$3,358 KL.
100%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecasts and real-time observations indicate San Francisco’s daytime maximum on May 17 will reach or exceed the 68°F climatological normal at San Francisco International Airport, driving the near-certain market consensus on the 68°F-or-higher outcome. A warming synoptic pattern with reduced marine-layer influence and light onshore flow supports this elevated reading, consistent with typical May conditions under neutral ENSO influence. The strong implied probability reflects traders’ confidence in official model consensus, yet a sudden strengthening of the marine layer or unexpected wind shift could still cap the high slightly below threshold before evening cooling sets in.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Khối lượng
$26,115Ngày kết thúc
May 17, 2026Thị trường mở
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service forecasts and real-time observations indicate San Francisco’s daytime maximum on May 17 will reach or exceed the 68°F climatological normal at San Francisco International Airport, driving the near-certain market consensus on the 68°F-or-higher outcome. A warming synoptic pattern with reduced marine-layer influence and light onshore flow supports this elevated reading, consistent with typical May conditions under neutral ENSO influence. The strong implied probability reflects traders’ confidence in official model consensus, yet a sudden strengthening of the marine layer or unexpected wind shift could still cap the high slightly below threshold before evening cooling sets in.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Khối lượng
$26,115Ngày kết thúc
May 17, 2026Thị trường mở
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETNational Weather Service forecasts and real-time observations indicate San Francisco’s daytime maximum on May 17 will reach or exceed the 68°F climatological normal at San Francisco International Airport, driving the near-certain market consensus on the 68°F-or-higher outcome. A warming synoptic pattern with reduced marine-layer influence and light onshore flow supports this elevated reading, consistent with typical May conditions under neutral ENSO influence. The strong implied probability reflects traders’ confidence in official model consensus, yet a sudden strengthening of the marine layer or unexpected wind shift could still cap the high slightly below threshold before evening cooling sets in.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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