Latest KMA and global model consensus for Incheon on September 11 projects a daytime high of 24–26 °C under partly cloudy skies, light northwest winds, and negligible precipitation, with afternoon peaks most likely near 25 °C. This narrow range reflects stable post-frontal conditions and limited diurnal heating, keeping probabilities tightly clustered around the central outcomes. Traders have aligned with these official forecasts, assigning the highest implied probability (43.5 %) to 25 °C and substantial weight to adjacent 24 °C and 26 °C bins; cooler or warmer extremes remain low-probability given the absence of significant model spread or evolving synoptic features. Updated model runs and morning observations will determine final resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on September 11?
25°C 44%
26°C 31%
24°C 20%
27°C 5%
$18,796 KL.
$18,796 KL.
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
4%
24°C
20%
25°C
44%
26°C
31%
27°C
5%
28°C
2%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
25°C 44%
26°C 31%
24°C 20%
27°C 5%
$18,796 KL.
$18,796 KL.
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
4%
24°C
20%
25°C
44%
26°C
31%
27°C
5%
28°C
2%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 9, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Latest KMA and global model consensus for Incheon on September 11 projects a daytime high of 24–26 °C under partly cloudy skies, light northwest winds, and negligible precipitation, with afternoon peaks most likely near 25 °C. This narrow range reflects stable post-frontal conditions and limited diurnal heating, keeping probabilities tightly clustered around the central outcomes. Traders have aligned with these official forecasts, assigning the highest implied probability (43.5 %) to 25 °C and substantial weight to adjacent 24 °C and 26 °C bins; cooler or warmer extremes remain low-probability given the absence of significant model spread or evolving synoptic features. Updated model runs and morning observations will determine final resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật

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