Recent short-range forecasts from Singapore's meteorological sources and global models indicate a high likelihood of daily maximum temperatures near 31–32°C on September 11, driven by prevailing southwest monsoon flow, dry regional conditions, and typical afternoon convective activity that limits extreme heating. This aligns closely with climatological averages for early September while the broader seasonal outlook flags potential for brief spikes toward 33–35°C if haze or reduced cloud cover develops. Trader consensus reflected in the market-implied odds emphasizes these thresholds as the most probable outcomes given model agreement on modest wind patterns and thunderstorm chances that could cap peaks, though revisions in the next official forecast update could shift probabilities if drier air dominates.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Singapore on September 11?
32°C 48%
31°C 34%
33°C 15%
30°C 5%
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
3%
29°C
3%
30°C
5%
31°C
34%
32°C
48%
33°C
15%
34°C
1%
35°C
1%
36°C or higher
<1%
32°C 48%
31°C 34%
33°C 15%
30°C 5%
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
3%
29°C
3%
30°C
5%
31°C
34%
32°C
48%
33°C
15%
34°C
1%
35°C
1%
36°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 9, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsssNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsssNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-range forecasts from Singapore's meteorological sources and global models indicate a high likelihood of daily maximum temperatures near 31–32°C on September 11, driven by prevailing southwest monsoon flow, dry regional conditions, and typical afternoon convective activity that limits extreme heating. This aligns closely with climatological averages for early September while the broader seasonal outlook flags potential for brief spikes toward 33–35°C if haze or reduced cloud cover develops. Trader consensus reflected in the market-implied odds emphasizes these thresholds as the most probable outcomes given model agreement on modest wind patterns and thunderstorm chances that could cap peaks, though revisions in the next official forecast update could shift probabilities if drier air dominates.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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