Drier-than-average conditions and a developing El Niño, combined with positive Indian Ocean Dipole influences, have elevated trader expectations for Singapore’s August 10 maximum, with official outlooks from NEA and MSS projecting daily highs of 33–34 °C under reduced rainfall and enhanced insolation. The narrow 46.5 %–40.5 % split between 32 °C and 33 °C reflects remaining uncertainty in afternoon convective timing, cloud-cover fraction, and localized wind patterns that can suppress or allow peak surface heating during the southwest monsoon. Warmer-than-usual regional temperatures and below-normal rainfall forecasts underpin the market-implied odds, yet short-range model divergence on shower development keeps both outcomes closely contested until updated guidance narrows the range.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Singapore on August 10?
32°C 47%
33°C 41%
31°C 10%
34°C 6%
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
2%
31°C
10%
32°C
47%
33°C
41%
34°C
6%
35°C or higher
1%
32°C 47%
33°C 41%
31°C 10%
34°C 6%
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
2%
31°C
10%
32°C
47%
33°C
41%
34°C
6%
35°C or higher
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 8, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Drier-than-average conditions and a developing El Niño, combined with positive Indian Ocean Dipole influences, have elevated trader expectations for Singapore’s August 10 maximum, with official outlooks from NEA and MSS projecting daily highs of 33–34 °C under reduced rainfall and enhanced insolation. The narrow 46.5 %–40.5 % split between 32 °C and 33 °C reflects remaining uncertainty in afternoon convective timing, cloud-cover fraction, and localized wind patterns that can suppress or allow peak surface heating during the southwest monsoon. Warmer-than-usual regional temperatures and below-normal rainfall forecasts underpin the market-implied odds, yet short-range model divergence on shower development keeps both outcomes closely contested until updated guidance narrows the range.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật

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