Recent numerical weather prediction models from sources including the Met Office, ECMWF analogs, and regional services indicate peak temperatures in Tel Aviv on August 26 will most likely reach 31–33°C under stable high-pressure conditions typical of late Mediterranean summer. Light westerly winds, minimal cloud cover, and moderate humidity support daytime heating to these levels without extreme intensification, consistent with climatological baselines near 30–32°C. Slight model spread around the upper end of this range, combined with potential for localized sea-breeze effects or minor forecast revisions overnight, underpins the market’s heavy weighting toward 33°C while assigning meaningful probability to 34°C. No major synoptic shifts or heat-wave signals have emerged in the latest runs.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 26?
33°C 59%
34°C 33%
32°C 7%
35°C 4%
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
3%
32°C
7%
33°C
59%
34°C
33%
35°C
4%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
33°C 59%
34°C 33%
32°C 7%
35°C 4%
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
3%
32°C
7%
33°C
59%
34°C
33%
35°C
4%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent numerical weather prediction models from sources including the Met Office, ECMWF analogs, and regional services indicate peak temperatures in Tel Aviv on August 26 will most likely reach 31–33°C under stable high-pressure conditions typical of late Mediterranean summer. Light westerly winds, minimal cloud cover, and moderate humidity support daytime heating to these levels without extreme intensification, consistent with climatological baselines near 30–32°C. Slight model spread around the upper end of this range, combined with potential for localized sea-breeze effects or minor forecast revisions overnight, underpins the market’s heavy weighting toward 33°C while assigning meaningful probability to 34°C. No major synoptic shifts or heat-wave signals have emerged in the latest runs.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật

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