Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 14°C as the highest temperature in Wellington on May 13 at 100% implied probability, driven by official observational data from Wellington International Airport station showing a peak of 14°C mid-afternoon amid mostly cloudy skies and persistent southerly winds suppressing further warming. MetService's latest forecasts and model runs aligned with this, projecting daytime highs of 12–14°C under cool air advection and scattered showers, consistent with May climatology where average maximums hover around 14°C. While inherent forecast uncertainty exists, a realistic challenge would require sudden clearing and solar heating in late afternoon—unlikely given strengthening southerlies—but final NIWA daily summaries could confirm resolution shortly.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Wellington on May 13?
Highest temperature in Wellington on May 13?
14°C 100.0%
8°C or below <1%
9°C <1%
10°C <1%
$59,520 KL.
$59,520 KL.
May 13, 2026
8°C or below
No
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
Yes
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C or higher
No
14°C 100.0%
8°C or below <1%
9°C <1%
10°C <1%
$59,520 KL.
$59,520 KL.
May 13, 2026
8°C or below
$1,051 KL.
No
9°C
$1,759 KL.
No
10°C
$3,936 KL.
No
11°C
$5,379 KL.
No
12°C
$6,334 KL.
No
13°C
$10,447 KL.
No
14°C
$9,038 KL.
Yes
15°C
$10,460 KL.
No
16°C
$5,764 KL.
No
17°C
$2,361 KL.
No
18°C or higher
$2,989 KL.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 14°C as the highest temperature in Wellington on May 13 at 100% implied probability, driven by official observational data from Wellington International Airport station showing a peak of 14°C mid-afternoon amid mostly cloudy skies and persistent southerly winds suppressing further warming. MetService's latest forecasts and model runs aligned with this, projecting daytime highs of 12–14°C under cool air advection and scattered showers, consistent with May climatology where average maximums hover around 14°C. While inherent forecast uncertainty exists, a realistic challenge would require sudden clearing and solar heating in late afternoon—unlikely given strengthening southerlies—but final NIWA daily summaries could confirm resolution shortly.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: May 11, 2026, 1:21 AM ET
Khối lượng
$59,520Ngày kết thúc
May 13, 2026Thị trường mở
May 11, 2026, 1:21 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: Yes
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 14°C as the highest temperature in Wellington on May 13 at 100% implied probability, driven by official observational data from Wellington International Airport station showing a peak of 14°C mid-afternoon amid mostly cloudy skies and persistent southerly winds suppressing further warming. MetService's latest forecasts and model runs aligned with this, projecting daytime highs of 12–14°C under cool air advection and scattered showers, consistent with May climatology where average maximums hover around 14°C. While inherent forecast uncertainty exists, a realistic challenge would require sudden clearing and solar heating in late afternoon—unlikely given strengthening southerlies—but final NIWA daily summaries could confirm resolution shortly.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Khối lượng
$59,520Ngày kết thúc
May 13, 2026Thị trường mở
May 11, 2026, 1:21 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: Yes
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: Yes
Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 14°C as the highest temperature in Wellington on May 13 at 100% implied probability, driven by official observational data from Wellington International Airport station showing a peak of 14°C mid-afternoon amid mostly cloudy skies and persistent southerly winds suppressing further warming. MetService's latest forecasts and model runs aligned with this, projecting daytime highs of 12–14°C under cool air advection and scattered showers, consistent with May climatology where average maximums hover around 14°C. While inherent forecast uncertainty exists, a realistic challenge would require sudden clearing and solar heating in late afternoon—unlikely given strengthening southerlies—but final NIWA daily summaries could confirm resolution shortly.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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