Recent meteorological data and forecast models from New Zealand's MetService point to a stable high of 13°C in Wellington on May 16, driven by typical autumn southerly flows and moderate cloud cover that limit daytime heating. This aligns with historical May averages for the capital, where maximum temperatures cluster around 12–14°C under similar pressure patterns. No significant warm advection or clear-sky radiative effects are expected to push readings higher, supporting the market's near-certain consensus. Traders are watching for any late-day shifts in wind direction or unexpected sunshine that could briefly elevate readings, though current model runs show low probability of such changes before the daily maximum is recorded.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Wellington on May 16?
Highest temperature in Wellington on May 16?
13°C 100.0%
6°C or below <1%
7°C <1%
8°C <1%
$49,154 KL.
$49,154 KL.
May 16, 2026
6°C or below
No
7°C
No
8°C
No
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
Yes
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C or higher
No
13°C 100.0%
6°C or below <1%
7°C <1%
8°C <1%
$49,154 KL.
$49,154 KL.
May 16, 2026
6°C or below
$2,911 KL.
No
7°C
$865 KL.
No
8°C
$607 KL.
No
9°C
$1,394 KL.
No
10°C
$1,099 KL.
No
11°C
$5,073 KL.
No
12°C
$6,831 KL.
No
13°C
$13,035 KL.
Yes
14°C
$9,217 KL.
No
15°C
$4,643 KL.
No
16°C or higher
$3,478 KL.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent meteorological data and forecast models from New Zealand's MetService point to a stable high of 13°C in Wellington on May 16, driven by typical autumn southerly flows and moderate cloud cover that limit daytime heating. This aligns with historical May averages for the capital, where maximum temperatures cluster around 12–14°C under similar pressure patterns. No significant warm advection or clear-sky radiative effects are expected to push readings higher, supporting the market's near-certain consensus. Traders are watching for any late-day shifts in wind direction or unexpected sunshine that could briefly elevate readings, though current model runs show low probability of such changes before the daily maximum is recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: May 14, 2026, 12:41 AM ET
Khối lượng
$49,154Ngày kết thúc
May 16, 2026Thị trường mở
May 14, 2026, 12:41 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: Yes
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent meteorological data and forecast models from New Zealand's MetService point to a stable high of 13°C in Wellington on May 16, driven by typical autumn southerly flows and moderate cloud cover that limit daytime heating. This aligns with historical May averages for the capital, where maximum temperatures cluster around 12–14°C under similar pressure patterns. No significant warm advection or clear-sky radiative effects are expected to push readings higher, supporting the market's near-certain consensus. Traders are watching for any late-day shifts in wind direction or unexpected sunshine that could briefly elevate readings, though current model runs show low probability of such changes before the daily maximum is recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Khối lượng
$49,154Ngày kết thúc
May 16, 2026Thị trường mở
May 14, 2026, 12:41 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: Yes
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: Yes
Recent meteorological data and forecast models from New Zealand's MetService point to a stable high of 13°C in Wellington on May 16, driven by typical autumn southerly flows and moderate cloud cover that limit daytime heating. This aligns with historical May averages for the capital, where maximum temperatures cluster around 12–14°C under similar pressure patterns. No significant warm advection or clear-sky radiative effects are expected to push readings higher, supporting the market's near-certain consensus. Traders are watching for any late-day shifts in wind direction or unexpected sunshine that could briefly elevate readings, though current model runs show low probability of such changes before the daily maximum is recorded.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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