Updated short-range forecasts from MetService New Zealand and regional numerical weather prediction models indicate fine conditions with southeasterly winds for Wellington on May 18, positioning a daytime maximum near 14°C as the most probable outcome. Mid-autumn climatology shows typical highs of 12–15°C under stable high-pressure patterns, with Cook Strait moderation limiting sharp swings. Recent model consensus shows no strong northerly flow or warm advection that would push readings to 16°C or above, while light winds and clear skies support modest daytime heating consistent with the 14°C and 15°C contracts. Traders are monitoring the next overnight model updates for any shifts in cloud cover or wind direction ahead of resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Wellington on May 18?
Highest temperature in Wellington on May 18?
14°C 54%
15°C 38%
13°C 6.9%
16°C 1.9%
MỚI
$27,989 KL.
MỚI
$27,989 KL.
May 18, 2026
8°C or below
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
1%
13°C
7%
14°C
54%
15°C
38%
16°C
2%
17°C
1%
18°C or higher
<1%
14°C 54%
15°C 38%
13°C 6.9%
16°C 1.9%
MỚI
$27,989 KL.
MỚI
$27,989 KL.
May 18, 2026
8°C or below
$681 KL.
<1%
9°C
$485 KL.
<1%
10°C
$540 KL.
<1%
11°C
$4,720 KL.
<1%
12°C
$3,537 KL.
1%
13°C
$3,959 KL.
7%
14°C
$3,699 KL.
54%
15°C
$2,698 KL.
38%
16°C
$5,152 KL.
2%
17°C
$2,889 KL.
1%
18°C or higher
$1,827 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Updated short-range forecasts from MetService New Zealand and regional numerical weather prediction models indicate fine conditions with southeasterly winds for Wellington on May 18, positioning a daytime maximum near 14°C as the most probable outcome. Mid-autumn climatology shows typical highs of 12–15°C under stable high-pressure patterns, with Cook Strait moderation limiting sharp swings. Recent model consensus shows no strong northerly flow or warm advection that would push readings to 16°C or above, while light winds and clear skies support modest daytime heating consistent with the 14°C and 15°C contracts. Traders are monitoring the next overnight model updates for any shifts in cloud cover or wind direction ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Khối lượng
$27,989Ngày kết thúc
May 18, 2026Thị trường mở
May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Updated short-range forecasts from MetService New Zealand and regional numerical weather prediction models indicate fine conditions with southeasterly winds for Wellington on May 18, positioning a daytime maximum near 14°C as the most probable outcome. Mid-autumn climatology shows typical highs of 12–15°C under stable high-pressure patterns, with Cook Strait moderation limiting sharp swings. Recent model consensus shows no strong northerly flow or warm advection that would push readings to 16°C or above, while light winds and clear skies support modest daytime heating consistent with the 14°C and 15°C contracts. Traders are monitoring the next overnight model updates for any shifts in cloud cover or wind direction ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Khối lượng
$27,989Ngày kết thúc
May 18, 2026Thị trường mở
May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNUpdated short-range forecasts from MetService New Zealand and regional numerical weather prediction models indicate fine conditions with southeasterly winds for Wellington on May 18, positioning a daytime maximum near 14°C as the most probable outcome. Mid-autumn climatology shows typical highs of 12–15°C under stable high-pressure patterns, with Cook Strait moderation limiting sharp swings. Recent model consensus shows no strong northerly flow or warm advection that would push readings to 16°C or above, while light winds and clear skies support modest daytime heating consistent with the 14°C and 15°C contracts. Traders are monitoring the next overnight model updates for any shifts in cloud cover or wind direction ahead of resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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