The slow rollout of the Trump Gold Card visa program, which offers expedited U.S. residency in exchange for a $1 million contribution plus processing fees, has anchored trader expectations for low 2026 sales volumes. As of late April, Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick confirmed only one approval despite hundreds of applications in the queue and earlier claims of over $1 billion in pre-registrations. Rigorous Department of Homeland Security vetting, legal challenges, and modest applicant momentum—around 338 submissions with far fewer completing payments—have limited actual issuances. These factors sustain the strong market preference for the 1-100 range while capping upside probabilities for higher brackets.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHow many Gold Cards will Trump sell in 2026?
How many Gold Cards will Trump sell in 2026?
1-100 68.7%
101-1k 18.2%
>100k 5.9%
2.5k-5k 4.1%
$235,121 KL.
$235,121 KL.
Dec 31, 2026
1-100
69%
101-1k
14%
1k-2.5k
3%
2.5k-5k
4%
5k-10k
3%
10k-25k
2%
25k-100k
2%
>100k
6%
1-100 68.7%
101-1k 18.2%
>100k 5.9%
2.5k-5k 4.1%
$235,121 KL.
$235,121 KL.
Dec 31, 2026
1-100
$15,602 KL.
69%
101-1k
$8,065 KL.
14%
1k-2.5k
$9,321 KL.
3%
2.5k-5k
$7,931 KL.
4%
5k-10k
$9,193 KL.
3%
10k-25k
$110,794 KL.
2%
25k-100k
$7,129 KL.
2%
>100k
$22,660 KL.
6%
Donald Trump has announced a “Gold Card” plan to offer a pathway citizenship to citizenship in exchange for a $5m payment.
This market will resolve according to the number of individuals who purchase a “Gold Card” between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Any individual participating in a new program created after February 26, 2025, by the Trump Administration which is either referred to as a Gold Card, or involves a new pathway to U.S. citizenship, work permits, or any other form of legal residency status in exchange for payments or investment will qualify.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official information from the Trump Administration. If the Trump Administration does not publish the number of individuals who receive Gold Cards by December 31, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.The slow rollout of the Trump Gold Card visa program, which offers expedited U.S. residency in exchange for a $1 million contribution plus processing fees, has anchored trader expectations for low 2026 sales volumes. As of late April, Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick confirmed only one approval despite hundreds of applications in the queue and earlier claims of over $1 billion in pre-registrations. Rigorous Department of Homeland Security vetting, legal challenges, and modest applicant momentum—around 338 submissions with far fewer completing payments—have limited actual issuances. These factors sustain the strong market preference for the 1-100 range while capping upside probabilities for higher brackets.
Donald Trump has announced a “Gold Card” plan to offer a pathway citizenship to citizenship in exchange for a $5m payment.
This market will resolve according to the number of individuals who purchase a “Gold Card” between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Any individual participating in a new program created after February 26, 2025, by the Trump Administration which is either referred to as a Gold Card, or involves a new pathway to U.S. citizenship, work permits, or any other form of legal residency status in exchange for payments or investment will qualify.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official information from the Trump Administration. If the Trump Administration does not publish the number of individuals who receive Gold Cards by December 31, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve according to the number of individuals who purchase a “Gold Card” between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Any individual participating in a new program created after February 26, 2025, by the Trump Administration which is either referred to as a Gold Card, or involves a new pathway to U.S. citizenship, work permits, or any other form of legal residency status in exchange for payments or investment will qualify.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official information from the Trump Administration. If the Trump Administration does not publish the number of individuals who receive Gold Cards by December 31, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.
Thị trường mở: Nov 5, 2025, 11:33 AM ET
Khối lượng
$235,121Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Nov 5, 2025, 11:33 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Donald Trump has announced a “Gold Card” plan to offer a pathway citizenship to citizenship in exchange for a $5m payment.
This market will resolve according to the number of individuals who purchase a “Gold Card” between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Any individual participating in a new program created after February 26, 2025, by the Trump Administration which is either referred to as a Gold Card, or involves a new pathway to U.S. citizenship, work permits, or any other form of legal residency status in exchange for payments or investment will qualify.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official information from the Trump Administration. If the Trump Administration does not publish the number of individuals who receive Gold Cards by December 31, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.The slow rollout of the Trump Gold Card visa program, which offers expedited U.S. residency in exchange for a $1 million contribution plus processing fees, has anchored trader expectations for low 2026 sales volumes. As of late April, Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick confirmed only one approval despite hundreds of applications in the queue and earlier claims of over $1 billion in pre-registrations. Rigorous Department of Homeland Security vetting, legal challenges, and modest applicant momentum—around 338 submissions with far fewer completing payments—have limited actual issuances. These factors sustain the strong market preference for the 1-100 range while capping upside probabilities for higher brackets.
Donald Trump has announced a “Gold Card” plan to offer a pathway citizenship to citizenship in exchange for a $5m payment.
This market will resolve according to the number of individuals who purchase a “Gold Card” between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Any individual participating in a new program created after February 26, 2025, by the Trump Administration which is either referred to as a Gold Card, or involves a new pathway to U.S. citizenship, work permits, or any other form of legal residency status in exchange for payments or investment will qualify.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official information from the Trump Administration. If the Trump Administration does not publish the number of individuals who receive Gold Cards by December 31, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve according to the number of individuals who purchase a “Gold Card” between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Any individual participating in a new program created after February 26, 2025, by the Trump Administration which is either referred to as a Gold Card, or involves a new pathway to U.S. citizenship, work permits, or any other form of legal residency status in exchange for payments or investment will qualify.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official information from the Trump Administration. If the Trump Administration does not publish the number of individuals who receive Gold Cards by December 31, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.
Khối lượng
$235,121Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Nov 5, 2025, 11:33 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The slow rollout of the Trump Gold Card visa program, which offers expedited U.S. residency in exchange for a $1 million contribution plus processing fees, has anchored trader expectations for low 2026 sales volumes. As of late April, Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick confirmed only one approval despite hundreds of applications in the queue and earlier claims of over $1 billion in pre-registrations. Rigorous Department of Homeland Security vetting, legal challenges, and modest applicant momentum—around 338 submissions with far fewer completing payments—have limited actual issuances. These factors sustain the strong market preference for the 1-100 range while capping upside probabilities for higher brackets.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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