The 400-500k range leads trader consensus at 60.5% because current ICE removal rates in fiscal year 2026 project totals in that band, consistent with a fivefold increase in interior deportations since early 2025 but well below the administration's 1 million annual target. Expanded arrests, reaching record monthly levels in June 2026, detention capacity growth, and state-local partnerships have accelerated enforcement, yet logistical limits, court oversight, and resource allocation keep annual figures from exceeding 500k at present pace. Recent data through mid-2026 show removals tracking near 430-460k annualized, reinforcing the narrow band as the prevailing assessment amid ongoing policy implementation.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHow many people will Trump deport in 2026?
How many people will Trump deport in 2026?
400-500k 64%
300-400k 18%
500-600k 9.3%
>1m 2.5%
$122,647 KL.
$122,647 KL.
Dec 31, 2026
<200k
2%
200-300k
<1%
300-400k
18%
400-500k
60%
500-600k
9%
600-700k
2%
700-800k
1%
800-900k
2%
900k-1m
1%
>1m
2%
400-500k 64%
300-400k 18%
500-600k 9.3%
>1m 2.5%
$122,647 KL.
$122,647 KL.
Dec 31, 2026
<200k
$10,181 KL.
2%
200-300k
$9,657 KL.
<1%
300-400k
$14,906 KL.
18%
400-500k
$7,727 KL.
60%
500-600k
$6,316 KL.
9%
600-700k
$5,645 KL.
2%
700-800k
$41,851 KL.
1%
800-900k
$12,742 KL.
2%
900k-1m
$6,542 KL.
1%
>1m
$7,081 KL.
2%
During the 2024 FY ICE removed 271,484 non citizens (see: https://www.ice.gov/doclib/eoy/iceAnnualReportFY2024.pdf).
This market will resolve according to the number of non citizens removed by U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) in the 2026 fiscal year.
The resolution source will be the FY 2026 ICE Annual Report. If the FY 2026 ICE Annual Report is not published by February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be used.The 400-500k range leads trader consensus at 60.5% because current ICE removal rates in fiscal year 2026 project totals in that band, consistent with a fivefold increase in interior deportations since early 2025 but well below the administration's 1 million annual target. Expanded arrests, reaching record monthly levels in June 2026, detention capacity growth, and state-local partnerships have accelerated enforcement, yet logistical limits, court oversight, and resource allocation keep annual figures from exceeding 500k at present pace. Recent data through mid-2026 show removals tracking near 430-460k annualized, reinforcing the narrow band as the prevailing assessment amid ongoing policy implementation.
During the 2024 FY ICE removed 271,484 non citizens (see: https://www.ice.gov/doclib/eoy/iceAnnualReportFY2024.pdf).
This market will resolve according to the number of non citizens removed by U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) in the 2026 fiscal year.
The resolution source will be the FY 2026 ICE Annual Report. If the FY 2026 ICE Annual Report is not published by February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market will resolve according to the number of non citizens removed by U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) in the 2026 fiscal year.
The resolution source will be the FY 2026 ICE Annual Report. If the FY 2026 ICE Annual Report is not published by February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be used.
Thị trường mở: Nov 5, 2025, 11:41 AM ET
Khối lượng
$122,647Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Nov 5, 2025, 11:41 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...During the 2024 FY ICE removed 271,484 non citizens (see: https://www.ice.gov/doclib/eoy/iceAnnualReportFY2024.pdf).
This market will resolve according to the number of non citizens removed by U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) in the 2026 fiscal year.
The resolution source will be the FY 2026 ICE Annual Report. If the FY 2026 ICE Annual Report is not published by February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be used.The 400-500k range leads trader consensus at 60.5% because current ICE removal rates in fiscal year 2026 project totals in that band, consistent with a fivefold increase in interior deportations since early 2025 but well below the administration's 1 million annual target. Expanded arrests, reaching record monthly levels in June 2026, detention capacity growth, and state-local partnerships have accelerated enforcement, yet logistical limits, court oversight, and resource allocation keep annual figures from exceeding 500k at present pace. Recent data through mid-2026 show removals tracking near 430-460k annualized, reinforcing the narrow band as the prevailing assessment amid ongoing policy implementation.
During the 2024 FY ICE removed 271,484 non citizens (see: https://www.ice.gov/doclib/eoy/iceAnnualReportFY2024.pdf).
This market will resolve according to the number of non citizens removed by U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) in the 2026 fiscal year.
The resolution source will be the FY 2026 ICE Annual Report. If the FY 2026 ICE Annual Report is not published by February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market will resolve according to the number of non citizens removed by U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) in the 2026 fiscal year.
The resolution source will be the FY 2026 ICE Annual Report. If the FY 2026 ICE Annual Report is not published by February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be used.
Khối lượng
$122,647Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Nov 5, 2025, 11:41 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The 400-500k range leads trader consensus at 60.5% because current ICE removal rates in fiscal year 2026 project totals in that band, consistent with a fivefold increase in interior deportations since early 2025 but well below the administration's 1 million annual target. Expanded arrests, reaching record monthly levels in June 2026, detention capacity growth, and state-local partnerships have accelerated enforcement, yet logistical limits, court oversight, and resource allocation keep annual figures from exceeding 500k at present pace. Recent data through mid-2026 show removals tracking near 430-460k annualized, reinforcing the narrow band as the prevailing assessment amid ongoing policy implementation.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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