**No joint list appears likely between Zehut and Amcha Yisrael (Amcha Israel), supporting the 92% "No" implied probability ahead of the September 8–9, 2026, candidate list deadline for the October 27 Knesset election.** Zehut, led by Moshe Feiglin and allied with Michael Ben-Ari since May, consistently polls at 1.3–1.7% and remains well below the 3.25% electoral threshold. Amcha Yisrael, launched by former IDF Brig. Gen. Ofer Winter on August 25 with a slate featuring Yoseph Haddad as No. 2 and other military, activist, and diverse figures, polls at 4–8 seats and targets overlapping right-wing and Religious Zionist voters while positioning itself to join a broad Zionist government. No confirmed merger talks or agreements have advanced. Reports note Feiglin expressed interest in discussions with Winter before denying them (despite a leaked recording), while Benjamin Netanyahu has publicly urged smaller right-wing parties to consolidate or withdraw to avoid splitting votes. Amcha Yisrael has emphasized running independently, and the parties maintain distinct platforms and leadership structures. With the list-submission deadline days away and Amcha Yisrael showing independent viability in recent surveys, traders see negligible momentum for a combined slate. Resolution will rest on official submissions to Israel's Central Elections Committee.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật8% khả năng
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 7, 2026
8% khả năng
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 7, 2026
Elections for the Knesset of Israel are scheduled to be held on October 27, 2026. Final candidate lists are currently scheduled to be submitted to the Central Elections Committee of Israel by September 8, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Zehut and Amcha Israel contest the 2026 Knesset elections as a combined party list, as submitted to the Central Elections Committee. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A list on which candidates from both parties appear will count regardless of the name under which that list runs, regardless of whether the arrangement is a technical bloc or a full merger of their parties, and regardless of the positions the candidates occupy on the list.
If candidates of neither party appear on any list submitted to contest the 2026 Knesset elections, this market will resolve to “No”.
Statements of intent, agreements in principle, and reported negotiations will not be considered; only the candidate lists as submitted to the Central Elections Committee will be considered. Withdrawals, disqualifications, and revisions made after the submission deadline will not be considered.
If the 2026 Knesset elections do not occur, or final candidate lists are not submitted, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il).**No joint list appears likely between Zehut and Amcha Yisrael (Amcha Israel), supporting the 92% "No" implied probability ahead of the September 8–9, 2026, candidate list deadline for the October 27 Knesset election.**
Zehut, led by Moshe Feiglin and allied with Michael Ben-Ari since May, consistently polls at 1.3–1.7% and remains well below the 3.25% electoral threshold. Amcha Yisrael, launched by former IDF Brig. Gen. Ofer Winter on August 25 with a slate featuring Yoseph Haddad as No. 2 and other military, activist, and diverse figures, polls at 4–8 seats and targets overlapping right-wing and Religious Zionist voters while positioning itself to join a broad Zionist government.
No confirmed merger talks or agreements have advanced. Reports note Feiglin expressed interest in discussions with Winter before denying them (despite a leaked recording), while Benjamin Netanyahu has publicly urged smaller right-wing parties to consolidate or withdraw to avoid splitting votes. Amcha Yisrael has emphasized running independently, and the parties maintain distinct platforms and leadership structures.
With the list-submission deadline days away and Amcha Yisrael showing independent viability in recent surveys, traders see negligible momentum for a combined slate. Resolution will rest on official submissions to Israel's Central Elections Committee.
Elections for the Knesset of Israel are scheduled to be held on October 27, 2026. Final candidate lists are currently scheduled to be submitted to the Central Elections Committee of Israel by September 8, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Zehut and Amcha Israel contest the 2026 Knesset elections as a combined party list, as submitted to the Central Elections Committee. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A list on which candidates from both parties appear will count regardless of the name under which that list runs, regardless of whether the arrangement is a technical bloc or a full merger of their parties, and regardless of the positions the candidates occupy on the list.
If candidates of neither party appear on any list submitted to contest the 2026 Knesset elections, this market will resolve to “No”.
Statements of intent, agreements in principle, and reported negotiations will not be considered; only the candidate lists as submitted to the Central Elections Committee will be considered. Withdrawals, disqualifications, and revisions made after the submission deadline will not be considered.
If the 2026 Knesset elections do not occur, or final candidate lists are not submitted, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Zehut and Amcha Israel contest the 2026 Knesset elections as a combined party list, as submitted to the Central Elections Committee. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A list on which candidates from both parties appear will count regardless of the name under which that list runs, regardless of whether the arrangement is a technical bloc or a full merger of their parties, and regardless of the positions the candidates occupy on the list.
If candidates of neither party appear on any list submitted to contest the 2026 Knesset elections, this market will resolve to “No”.
Statements of intent, agreements in principle, and reported negotiations will not be considered; only the candidate lists as submitted to the Central Elections Committee will be considered. Withdrawals, disqualifications, and revisions made after the submission deadline will not be considered.
If the 2026 Knesset elections do not occur, or final candidate lists are not submitted, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il).
Thị trường mở: Aug 28, 2026, 6:07 PM ET
Khối lượng
$171Ngày kết thúc
Sep 7, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 28, 2026, 6:07 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x65070BE91...Elections for the Knesset of Israel are scheduled to be held on October 27, 2026. Final candidate lists are currently scheduled to be submitted to the Central Elections Committee of Israel by September 8, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Zehut and Amcha Israel contest the 2026 Knesset elections as a combined party list, as submitted to the Central Elections Committee. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A list on which candidates from both parties appear will count regardless of the name under which that list runs, regardless of whether the arrangement is a technical bloc or a full merger of their parties, and regardless of the positions the candidates occupy on the list.
If candidates of neither party appear on any list submitted to contest the 2026 Knesset elections, this market will resolve to “No”.
Statements of intent, agreements in principle, and reported negotiations will not be considered; only the candidate lists as submitted to the Central Elections Committee will be considered. Withdrawals, disqualifications, and revisions made after the submission deadline will not be considered.
If the 2026 Knesset elections do not occur, or final candidate lists are not submitted, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il).**No joint list appears likely between Zehut and Amcha Yisrael (Amcha Israel), supporting the 92% "No" implied probability ahead of the September 8–9, 2026, candidate list deadline for the October 27 Knesset election.**
Zehut, led by Moshe Feiglin and allied with Michael Ben-Ari since May, consistently polls at 1.3–1.7% and remains well below the 3.25% electoral threshold. Amcha Yisrael, launched by former IDF Brig. Gen. Ofer Winter on August 25 with a slate featuring Yoseph Haddad as No. 2 and other military, activist, and diverse figures, polls at 4–8 seats and targets overlapping right-wing and Religious Zionist voters while positioning itself to join a broad Zionist government.
No confirmed merger talks or agreements have advanced. Reports note Feiglin expressed interest in discussions with Winter before denying them (despite a leaked recording), while Benjamin Netanyahu has publicly urged smaller right-wing parties to consolidate or withdraw to avoid splitting votes. Amcha Yisrael has emphasized running independently, and the parties maintain distinct platforms and leadership structures.
With the list-submission deadline days away and Amcha Yisrael showing independent viability in recent surveys, traders see negligible momentum for a combined slate. Resolution will rest on official submissions to Israel's Central Elections Committee.
Elections for the Knesset of Israel are scheduled to be held on October 27, 2026. Final candidate lists are currently scheduled to be submitted to the Central Elections Committee of Israel by September 8, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Zehut and Amcha Israel contest the 2026 Knesset elections as a combined party list, as submitted to the Central Elections Committee. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A list on which candidates from both parties appear will count regardless of the name under which that list runs, regardless of whether the arrangement is a technical bloc or a full merger of their parties, and regardless of the positions the candidates occupy on the list.
If candidates of neither party appear on any list submitted to contest the 2026 Knesset elections, this market will resolve to “No”.
Statements of intent, agreements in principle, and reported negotiations will not be considered; only the candidate lists as submitted to the Central Elections Committee will be considered. Withdrawals, disqualifications, and revisions made after the submission deadline will not be considered.
If the 2026 Knesset elections do not occur, or final candidate lists are not submitted, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Zehut and Amcha Israel contest the 2026 Knesset elections as a combined party list, as submitted to the Central Elections Committee. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A list on which candidates from both parties appear will count regardless of the name under which that list runs, regardless of whether the arrangement is a technical bloc or a full merger of their parties, and regardless of the positions the candidates occupy on the list.
If candidates of neither party appear on any list submitted to contest the 2026 Knesset elections, this market will resolve to “No”.
Statements of intent, agreements in principle, and reported negotiations will not be considered; only the candidate lists as submitted to the Central Elections Committee will be considered. Withdrawals, disqualifications, and revisions made after the submission deadline will not be considered.
If the 2026 Knesset elections do not occur, or final candidate lists are not submitted, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Tel Aviv time, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official information from the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il).
Khối lượng
$171Ngày kết thúc
Sep 7, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 28, 2026, 6:07 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x65070BE91...**No joint list appears likely between Zehut and Amcha Yisrael (Amcha Israel), supporting the 92% "No" implied probability ahead of the September 8–9, 2026, candidate list deadline for the October 27 Knesset election.** Zehut, led by Moshe Feiglin and allied with Michael Ben-Ari since May, consistently polls at 1.3–1.7% and remains well below the 3.25% electoral threshold. Amcha Yisrael, launched by former IDF Brig. Gen. Ofer Winter on August 25 with a slate featuring Yoseph Haddad as No. 2 and other military, activist, and diverse figures, polls at 4–8 seats and targets overlapping right-wing and Religious Zionist voters while positioning itself to join a broad Zionist government. No confirmed merger talks or agreements have advanced. Reports note Feiglin expressed interest in discussions with Winter before denying them (despite a leaked recording), while Benjamin Netanyahu has publicly urged smaller right-wing parties to consolidate or withdraw to avoid splitting votes. Amcha Yisrael has emphasized running independently, and the parties maintain distinct platforms and leadership structures. With the list-submission deadline days away and Amcha Yisrael showing independent viability in recent surveys, traders see negligible momentum for a combined slate. Resolution will rest on official submissions to Israel's Central Elections Committee.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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